@duxiachen

#2,444,20329

0xba0c670c543d14c81840e53bb79e261bdf840eea

~44d· 90 markets · 130 tradesVol: $52,7342026-08-04 22:39:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (45/90)10/20
0.84x (win $332 / loss $395)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6430/15
Sortino -0.6930/10
$-0.0094 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 295 (90 markets)10/10
27/43 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 1581% of peak ($271 / $17)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
Consistent
27/43 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,486,666$-113Vol: $11,549
⚽ SPORTS#165,771$50Vol: $490
🌤️ WEATHER#232,281$-6Vol: $115

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-68
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$52,734
Total Redeem
$67
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
125B / 5S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
45W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-68
Win Rate
50%
45W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $148 (2.1610169491525424% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 11?$60
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 12?$51
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 11?$36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?$31
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack$30
Morgan State Bears vs. Howard Bison$18
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd$7
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 14?$5
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 12?$4
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 23?$4

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?$-264
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 7?$-9
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 12?$-7
Morehouse College Maroon vs. Howard Bison$-7
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$-6
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 21?$-6
Ethereum Up or Down on January 22?$-4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?$-4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 1?$-4
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 31?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.033
Sortino
-0.022
HHI
314
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 8754s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.44
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)57.6%

Sessions

#12
12/5/2025, 7:07:35 AM1 trades$2700 min
12/3/2025, 10:00:37 AM1 trades$2690 min
12/6/2025, 6:39:55 AM2 trades$2680 min
11/30/2025, 10:54:06 PM1 trades$2680 min
12/7/2025, 9:01:11 AM2 trades$2670 min
12/9/2025, 5:50:39 AM2 trades$2640 min
11/30/2025, 5:07:37 AM1 trades$2640 min
12/2/2025, 5:47:44 PM2 trades$2620 min
12/1/2025, 3:58:38 PM1 trades$2530 min
1/21/2026, 4:12:40 PM1 trades$2490 min
1/22/2026, 1:40:34 AM1 trades$2440 min
1/16/2026, 4:44:02 PM2 trades$2391 min
1/23/2026, 9:18:32 AM1 trades$2370 min
5/31/2026, 9:50:23 AM1 trades$2360 min
7/7/2026, 3:18:47 AM2 trades$2330 min
1/24/2026, 9:45:24 AM2 trades$2280 min
1/25/2026, 7:06:20 PM2 trades$2180 min
1/19/2026, 7:15:56 AM2 trades$2170 min
3/31/2026, 1:44:27 AM1 trades$2110 min
7/6/2026, 11:05:19 PM1 trades$2060 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-30
12-09
01-10
01-18
01-26
03-24
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.4 / M0 / H57.6