@dvavdev

#2,745,34612

0xef777ac6ba575df065d12fe4f04da8eb17211bdb

~26d· 38 markets · 71 tradesVol: $140,0222026-08-04 19:44:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (13/32)5.3/20
0.20x (win $73 / loss $372)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.0520/15
Sortino -8.2700/10
$-0.0290 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1103 (32 markets)7/10
5/18 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 161895% of peak ($324 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,701,929$-122Vol: $86,594
🏛️ POLITICS#160,426$12Vol: $35,686
💰 FINANCE#620,775$-55Vol: $2,995
📈 ECONOMICS#93,658$2Vol: $1,049
₿ CRYPTO#1,445,005$-82Vol: $611
💻 TECH#34,295$2Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-243
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$140,022
Total Redeem
$150
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
49B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-243
Vol: $140,022

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
13W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-243
Win Rate
41%
13W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $56 (0.2309904284599269% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump out as President by June 30?$24
Trump out as President by March 31?$22
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?$11
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$5
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$3
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?$2
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by March 31?$1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$1
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?$1

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Lakers$-118
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-100
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-54
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?$-32
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-17
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-12
Will Tanya Plibersek be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$-12
Will Everton finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?$-10
Will LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring?$-5
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.461
Sortino
-0.425
HHI
908
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
60.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.88
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)73.5%

Sessions

#12
12/24/2024, 4:39:08 AM2 trades$2,5341 min
12/25/2024, 6:21:43 PM3 trades$2,5162 min
12/25/2024, 2:29:46 PM2 trades$2,5121 min
12/22/2024, 7:10:22 AM4 trades$2,5102 min
12/23/2024, 4:03:34 AM2 trades$2,4771 min
12/20/2024, 11:17:44 PM3 trades$1,3311 min
12/26/2024, 12:52:38 PM1 trades$1,2490 min
6/11/2026, 7:50:09 AM7 trades$7601 min
11/13/2025, 5:04:44 PM5 trades$4466 min
7/31/2026, 3:40:45 AM6 trades$3141 min
4/4/2026, 12:56:05 PM4 trades$3002 min
12/10/2025, 3:05:04 PM3 trades$2095 min
4/24/2025, 3:26:14 AM2 trades$1631 min
11/13/2025, 5:16:16 PM1 trades$1390 min
5/30/2025, 1:48:39 PM2 trades$1362 min
5/7/2026, 9:15:46 AM2 trades$1310 min
1/27/2026, 2:59:43 PM2 trades$1250 min
2/17/2026, 4:13:51 PM2 trades$921 min
2/26/2026, 11:41:02 AM2 trades$761 min
2/12/2025, 5:08:10 PM3 trades$713 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-20
12-24
02-12
04-24
11-13
02-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 422 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.5 / M0 / H73.5