@earedbat

#38,77647

0xd0fc04ed9f81acb0a21a76611c0040f8f0c55422

~63d· 82 markets · 256 tradesVol: $7,1502026-08-05 17:01:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (18/53)2/20
1.40x (win $122 / loss $87)7.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.28615/15
Sortino 4.74810/10
$+0.0267 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 790 (53 markets)8.5/10
15/39 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 91% of peak ($41 / $46)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+2,933
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#14,943$2,947Vol: $2,942
CRYPTO#324,994$3Vol: $2,067
🏛️ POLITICS#802,193$-1Vol: $1,542
💰 FINANCE#555,075$-6Vol: $370
📈 ECONOMICS#606,099$-11Vol: $147
💻 TECH#65,020$0Vol: $82

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,933
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,150
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
194B / 62S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $2
Week
$-1
Vol: $2
Month
$5
Vol: $2
All Time
$2,933
Vol: $7,150

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
18W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$2,933
Win Rate
34%
18W / 35L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $94 (0.03191794088360864% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$80
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?$7
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?$6
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$6
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$6
Lakers vs. Nuggets$4
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?$2
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5$2
Will Solana dip to $110 in December?$2
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2

Top Losers

Will Solana reach $150 in December?$-13
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?$-11
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$-8
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5$-6
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$-4
Over $7M committed to the Bitway public sale?$-4
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?$-4
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?$-4
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-3
XRP Up or Down - December 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.264
HHI
101
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.092
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
15.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1566s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.02
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.3%
Mid (20-55c)42.3%
High (>55c)31.4%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 12:56:52 AM4 trades$1790 min
7/22/2026, 9:49:01 AM2 trades$1670 min
1/25/2026, 7:35:38 PM2 trades$1650 min
7/27/2026, 4:25:40 PM2 trades$1053 min
7/16/2026, 2:20:25 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/25/2026, 8:25:37 AM1 trades$620 min
2/5/2026, 7:11:53 AM2 trades$600 min
1/13/2026, 10:16:44 PM2 trades$590 min
7/25/2026, 1:47:06 PM55 trades$5318 min
7/9/2026, 12:59:41 PM2 trades$500 min
1/27/2026, 11:11:09 PM1 trades$380 min
1/2/2026, 2:48:09 PM2 trades$370 min
7/23/2026, 2:48:51 AM2 trades$360 min
1/14/2026, 6:59:52 PM2 trades$230 min
7/29/2026, 8:41:11 AM2 trades$220 min
7/23/2026, 8:25:01 AM2 trades$220 min
1/3/2026, 5:49:07 PM2 trades$200 min
3/10/2026, 9:20:15 PM1 trades$200 min
2/5/2026, 10:41:57 AM1 trades$180 min
2/5/2026, 4:28:49 PM1 trades$170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-11
12-17
12-26
01-11
01-21
01-31
04-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.02/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.3 / M42.3 / H31.4