@eatherly

#62,24640

0x2ff21269586cb01d1084a7b8871d581eeab57c02

~182d· 243 markets · 961 tradesVol: $112,0752026-08-05 17:23:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (176/233)20/20
0.77x (win $7,842 / loss $10,241)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8410/15
Sortino -0.8650/10
$-0.0593 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 194 (233 markets)10/10
88/128 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 200% of peak ($5,739 / $2,864)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+1,574
Consistent
88/128 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#12,188$1,849Vol: $106,756
🎭 CULTURE#803,364$-322Vol: $3,287
💰 FINANCE#30,453$36Vol: $1,348
📈 ECONOMICS#36,379$13Vol: $608
⚽ SPORTS#912,919$-1Vol: $70
🌤️ WEATHER#207,745$-2Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,574
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$112,075
Total Redeem
$217
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
243
total markets
Trades
588B / 373S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~182d

Periods

#2
Today
$-49
Vol: $0
Week
$-26
Vol: $47
Month
$63
Vol: $47
All Time
$1,574
Vol: $112,075

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
176W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$1,574
Win Rate
76%
176W / 57L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-180

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $952 (0.604746624305004% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$327
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?$314
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$311
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$224
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?$186
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?$179
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$169
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?$169
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$152
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$127

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-3,203
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,200
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,091
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$-600
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?$-427
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-400
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$-330
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?$-277
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?$-267
US military action against Iran before July?$-242

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.044
Sortino
-0.026
HHI
137
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.053
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
17.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 836s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)12.8%
High (>55c)83.2%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:59:41 PM5 trades$2,8030 min
8/12/2025, 4:43:51 PM2 trades$8051 min
4/7/2026, 10:36:33 PM8 trades$7731 min
7/31/2025, 4:47:34 PM11 trades$7497 min
4/1/2026, 11:49:03 AM12 trades$7424 min
3/29/2026, 12:00:14 AM5 trades$7294 min
3/14/2026, 5:47:23 PM4 trades$7051 min
2/3/2026, 3:57:54 PM4 trades$7009 min
1/22/2026, 9:40:50 PM12 trades$63412 min
6/24/2026, 3:14:53 PM15 trades$6104 min
4/7/2026, 9:18:13 PM9 trades$5827 min
3/29/2026, 12:15:10 AM2 trades$5390 min
8/18/2025, 1:11:16 PM2 trades$5261 min
4/1/2026, 11:14:31 AM5 trades$5100 min
10/17/2025, 2:50:01 PM2 trades$4942 min
4/3/2026, 6:47:49 AM2 trades$4600 min
2/23/2026, 12:19:22 PM2 trades$4592 min
4/8/2026, 9:59:45 AM2 trades$4350 min
4/1/2026, 11:35:27 AM13 trades$4340 min
8/4/2025, 1:40:36 PM3 trades$4343 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
07-03
11-25
01-13
02-19
03-22
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M12.8 / H83.2