@efjejdew

#2,303,93915

0x8cce39b83b98e615396eef869b04b01e42bc13ff

~44d· 107 markets · 279 tradesVol: $263,1152026-08-04 19:06:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (56/106)11.4/20
0.82x (win $1,374 / loss $1,686)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8530/15
Sortino -2.4640/10
$-0.0332 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4023 (106 markets)0/10
17/38 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 175% of peak ($726 / $414)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#122,107$99Vol: $252,196
🏛️ POLITICS#1,153,790$-5Vol: $10,203

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-43
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$263,115
Total Redeem
$70
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
107
total markets
Trades
205B / 74S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
56W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$-43
Win Rate
53%
56W / 50L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $419 (9.855161062779214% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Lakers$285
Heat vs. Bucks$68
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)$67
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)$51
Nuggets vs. Warriors$51
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$49
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)$46
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)$39
Knicks vs. Nuggets$39
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$38

Top Losers

Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5$-179
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)$-102
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$-90
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)$-84
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)$-83
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)$-77
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-71
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)$-55
Kings vs. Grizzlies$-53
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.096
Sortino
-0.128
HHI
2972
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.034
Kelly %
37.6%
Half-Kelly
18.8%
Top-1 market
53.6%
Top-5 markets
66.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 746s — normal for humanCV 5.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.54
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.3%
Mid (20-55c)61.5%
High (>55c)30.2%

Sessions

#12
1/7/2025, 12:18:37 PM8 trades$10,0842 min
12/5/2025, 3:01:35 AM1 trades$8520 min
12/5/2025, 3:30:53 AM1 trades$8520 min
4/28/2026, 4:35:44 AM5 trades$3401 min
3/6/2026, 3:21:41 PM1 trades$1790 min
3/21/2026, 5:41:35 PM3 trades$1275 min
2/18/2026, 3:31:58 PM6 trades$1263 min
12/11/2025, 1:06:23 AM1 trades$1160 min
4/4/2026, 8:50:39 PM2 trades$1040 min
4/4/2026, 9:52:49 PM4 trades$842 min
2/19/2026, 1:58:36 PM3 trades$842 min
3/28/2026, 8:45:58 PM1 trades$830 min
2/21/2026, 9:54:42 PM3 trades$833 min
2/7/2026, 5:40:25 PM1 trades$710 min
4/4/2026, 10:12:37 PM2 trades$700 min
4/4/2026, 10:46:55 PM3 trades$700 min
1/24/2026, 11:00:28 PM3 trades$682 min
2/20/2026, 2:54:44 PM3 trades$634 min
2/21/2026, 9:43:12 PM1 trades$600 min
3/25/2026, 6:25:19 AM2 trades$580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
01-26
02-06
02-16
02-22
03-14
04-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.54/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L8.3 / M61.5 / H30.2