@elast4

#82,58054

0x75f3af3e12e58d1ef0ed15fdb22f09f90fd6fc66

~38d· 53 markets · 106 tradesVol: $88,386 @trade2233112026-08-04 22:09:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (25/51)9.5/20
1.23x (win $7,018 / loss $5,694)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.04315/15
Sortino 1.56810/10
$+0.0322 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 1245 (51 markets)6.3/10
18/34 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($2,533 / $3,378)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+981
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,373,597$-20Vol: $38,131
⚽ SPORTS#39,811$933Vol: $31,086
₿ CRYPTO#113,453$67Vol: $9,485
📈 ECONOMICS#595,799$-10Vol: $9,000
💰 FINANCE#55,755$10Vol: $685

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$981
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,386
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
75B / 31S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$981
Vol: $88,386

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
25W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$981
Win Rate
49%
25W / 26L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$281
Avg Loss
$-219

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,401 (4.486664763574822% of PnL)

Top Winners

Capitals vs. Blue Jackets$2,295
Knicks vs. Lakers$1,077
Wild vs. Islanders$1,029
Falcons vs. Saints$1,013
Eagles vs. Bills$989
Bucks vs. Pacers$472
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?$48
Ethereum Up or Down on April 24?$45
Solana above $190 on May 16?$20
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$9

Top Losers

Knicks vs. 76ers$-2,078
Colts vs. Jaguars$-1,024
Panthers vs. Senators$-1,002
Penguins vs. Sabres$-943
Seahawks vs. Patriots$-467
Pacers vs. Bucks$-81
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$-20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 19?$-19
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?$-12
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.054
Sortino
0.064
HHI
925
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
24.1%
Half-Kelly
12.0%
Top-1 market
18.9%
Top-5 markets
54.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.3m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 368s — normal for humanCV 2.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.29
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8%
Mid (20-55c)22.7%
High (>55c)69.3%

Sessions

#12
1/12/2025, 12:38:33 PM2 trades$15,5360 min
1/12/2025, 12:49:03 PM2 trades$7,8120 min
1/12/2025, 12:28:57 PM1 trades$7,7760 min
2/5/2026, 2:06:17 PM4 trades$3,93310 min
4/14/2026, 2:23:03 PM2 trades$2,0350 min
12/6/2025, 2:23:21 PM2 trades$2,0264 min
3/10/2026, 2:28:41 PM1 trades$2,0230 min
1/10/2026, 3:27:38 PM2 trades$2,0034 min
5/8/2026, 3:24:06 PM3 trades$1,9980 min
5/22/2026, 9:55:13 AM5 trades$1,8041 min
10/31/2025, 10:27:03 AM3 trades$1,0356 min
2/5/2026, 1:53:39 PM1 trades$1,0250 min
10/19/2025, 6:10:51 AM2 trades$1,0232 min
4/8/2026, 3:17:31 PM2 trades$1,0230 min
4/8/2026, 3:28:47 PM2 trades$1,0230 min
3/22/2026, 2:58:15 PM1 trades$1,0200 min
3/22/2026, 3:11:59 PM1 trades$1,0190 min
11/3/2025, 2:50:01 PM1 trades$1,0040 min
12/6/2025, 2:07:05 PM1 trades$1,0040 min
1/10/2026, 3:10:18 PM1 trades$1,0010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
04-10
08-30
11-03
01-10
04-14
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8 / M22.7 / H69.3