@elbrys

#2,705,85318

0x5d200303a95596634d7d18ab345153221493e82b

~19d· 36 markets · 191 tradesVol: $38,463 @IElbrys2026-08-04 21:52:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (13/34)4.1/20
0.66x (win $341 / loss $517)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7140/15
Sortino -3.8590/10
$-0.1580 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 619 (34 markets)9.4/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 191% of peak ($369 / $193)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,467,452$-100Vol: $32,383
💻 TECH#238,382$-25Vol: $3,033
🏛️ POLITICS#1,493,050$-71Vol: $2,868
💰 FINANCE#511,903$-2Vol: $178

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-198
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,463
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
133B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
13W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-198
Win Rate
38%
13W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $222 (1.1194933642831912% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 28?$103
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 26?$66
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$53
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$31
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$28
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 28?$22
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 23?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$8
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?$8
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$7

Top Losers

Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$-231
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 28?$-66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 26?$-38
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?$-29
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-25
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$-25
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$-15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 30?$-13
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 29?$-12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 29?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.187
Sortino
-0.168
HHI
702
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.180
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.9%
Top-5 markets
44.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 584s — normal for humanCV 1.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.5%
High (>55c)9%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 10:47:52 AM4 trades$6431 min
7/7/2026, 11:38:19 AM2 trades$4730 min
11/30/2025, 4:58:12 PM7 trades$2033 min
7/6/2026, 10:02:32 PM4 trades$1551 min
11/28/2025, 12:10:41 AM3 trades$1210 min
11/26/2025, 4:15:29 PM2 trades$1012 min
11/27/2025, 4:06:35 PM7 trades$737 min
5/8/2026, 9:38:15 AM8 trades$640 min
2/19/2026, 10:40:46 AM3 trades$491 min
11/24/2025, 9:34:03 PM4 trades$479 min
11/24/2025, 10:04:57 PM1 trades$460 min
11/24/2025, 11:19:45 PM4 trades$4110 min
12/1/2025, 8:24:16 AM2 trades$401 min
12/1/2025, 8:46:12 AM2 trades$400 min
12/1/2025, 12:14:52 PM1 trades$390 min
11/24/2025, 10:48:43 PM1 trades$390 min
11/26/2025, 4:05:45 PM1 trades$350 min
11/30/2025, 2:40:50 PM3 trades$332 min
11/26/2025, 3:44:31 PM4 trades$320 min
11/27/2025, 10:46:31 AM2 trades$320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
11-24
11-26
11-30
12-02
02-19
05-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 161 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.26/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.4 / M19.5 / H9