@elmesias
#236,313690x1edfb719e2502197c4f5a8515bc6154a0d016be6
~101d· 782 markets · 1597 tradesVol: $56,4152026-08-05 15:51:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
37% (288/780)3.5/20
1.54x (win $4,910 / loss $3,181)9.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.22415/15
Sortino 9.44510/10
$+0.2518 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 272 (780 markets)10/10
37/92 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($432 / $1,729)9/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+103
Contrarian
85% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#53,719$557Vol: $22,214
₿ CRYPTO#80,156$129Vol: $14,105
🏛️ POLITICS#1,551,268$-160Vol: $11,880
🌤️ WEATHER#289,841$-168Vol: $3,614
📈 ECONOMICS#623,115$-18Vol: $1,832
🎭 CULTURE#769,641$-61Vol: $1,557
💰 FINANCE#638,404$-144Vol: $913
📢 MENTIONS#150,800$-32Vol: $298
Overview
#1Net PnL
$103
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$56,415
Total Redeem
$12
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
782
total markets
Trades
942B / 655S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~101d
Periods
#2Today
$-5
Vol: $503
Week
$-9
Vol: $1,564
Month
$-12
Vol: $1,723
All Time
$103
Vol: $56,415
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
37%
288W / 492L events
Realized PnL
$103
Win Rate
37%
288W / 492L
Profit Factor
1.54x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-7
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,046 (19.812046092766536% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$1,404
Knicks vs. Spurs$398
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$244
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$184
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$108
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5$100
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?$85
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$71
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5$62
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$58
Top Losers
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$-263
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-121
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$-103
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians$-98
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev$-77
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaider$-52
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$-50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?$-39
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5$-35
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5$-34
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.116
Sortino
0.456
HHI
330
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.222
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.7%
Top-5 markets
30%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 325s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal4.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.07
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.5%
Mid (20-55c)64.5%
High (>55c)15%
Sessions
#126/4/2026, 4:12:40 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/5/2026, 11:57:28 PM5 trades$9670 min
8/4/2026, 6:11:33 PM5 trades$9371 min
6/20/2026, 3:27:56 PM2 trades$9090 min
5/8/2026, 6:34:28 PM4 trades$7391 min
4/19/2026, 2:27:12 AM2 trades$7120 min
6/13/2026, 1:38:57 AM2 trades$6750 min
6/12/2026, 9:24:30 PM4 trades$6741 min
6/10/2026, 7:08:19 PM8 trades$4701 min
6/16/2026, 12:52:33 AM4 trades$4691 min
5/5/2026, 6:16:58 PM15 trades$41611 min
6/3/2026, 11:51:33 PM4 trades$3372 min
6/3/2026, 5:37:33 PM2 trades$3330 min
6/5/2026, 4:48:34 AM5 trades$3241 min
6/20/2026, 10:52:41 PM15 trades$3087 min
8/5/2026, 2:22:09 AM5 trades$2280 min
6/22/2026, 2:28:13 AM7 trades$2265 min
6/27/2026, 6:48:08 PM4 trades$2140 min
8/5/2026, 1:40:38 AM4 trades$2140 min
6/11/2026, 6:02:15 PM4 trades$2083 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-26
03-17
04-30
05-19
06-17
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 71 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.07/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20.5 / M64.5 / H15