@elpredictoooor
#20,474920xa27a166492f1e92bc2c8f1a8479aa502b7e8b546
~75d· 136 markets · 431 tradesVol: $199,3572026-08-05 16:37:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
85% (90/106)20/20
3.94x (win $9,157 / loss $2,324)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.23415/15
Sortino 34.16810/10
$+0.0467 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 660 (106 markets)9.2/10
38/50 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($869 / $6,833)10/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+6,583
Whale
$146,399 invested
Consistent
38/50 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8₿ CRYPTO#26,577$1,288Vol: $144,802
💰 FINANCE#1,202$4,417Vol: $32,373
🏛️ POLITICS#29,807$422Vol: $12,325
🎭 CULTURE#18,402$122Vol: $6,391
⚽ SPORTS#59,979$447Vol: $2,176
💻 TECH#249,052$-98Vol: $972
📈 ECONOMICS#618,299$-16Vol: $298
🌤️ WEATHER#94,528$0Vol: $20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$6,583
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$199,357
Total Redeem
$255
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
136
total markets
Trades
320B / 111S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$22
Vol: $0
Month
$52
Vol: $0
All Time
$6,583
Vol: $199,357
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
85%
90W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$6,583
Win Rate
85%
90W / 16L
Profit Factor
3.94x
Avg Win
$102
Avg Loss
$-145
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,281 (0.9541456523060096% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4,081
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,705
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $495
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$386
Maduro out in 2025?$356
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$332
Cardano ETF in 2025?$191
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $181
Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?$127
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$113
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-424
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-383
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?$-305
Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?$-250
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?$-194
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-160
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$-148
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$-122
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$-83
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-70
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.219
Sortino
1.418
HHI
592
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17%
Top-5 markets
41.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 2.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.53
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)8.4%
High (>55c)90.6%
Sessions
#1210/27/2025, 7:19:11 PM11 trades$11,5615 min
12/16/2025, 4:03:01 PM11 trades$9,0949 min
10/30/2025, 8:43:09 AM1 trades$8,0640 min
10/30/2025, 1:00:13 PM1 trades$7,9200 min
10/31/2025, 11:02:07 AM4 trades$6,9475 min
10/28/2025, 10:48:13 PM1 trades$6,5110 min
12/17/2025, 11:04:47 PM4 trades$6,4803 min
10/24/2025, 12:28:27 PM4 trades$6,0982 min
12/17/2025, 11:15:37 PM4 trades$5,6463 min
10/15/2025, 1:07:35 PM2 trades$5,4700 min
10/14/2025, 6:51:21 PM2 trades$5,4431 min
10/21/2025, 6:54:41 AM1 trades$5,3190 min
10/29/2025, 8:09:29 PM2 trades$5,0100 min
10/14/2025, 4:45:17 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
10/16/2025, 6:36:01 PM1 trades$4,9950 min
12/18/2025, 12:05:34 AM5 trades$4,6516 min
4/18/2026, 8:55:56 PM9 trades$3,7421 min
10/18/2025, 4:05:33 PM1 trades$3,2770 min
10/16/2025, 11:09:19 AM3 trades$3,1981 min
11/10/2025, 6:48:50 PM8 trades$3,09011 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
09-28
10-30
11-25
01-13
03-04
05-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 95 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.9 / M8.4 / H90.6