@ephraim123

#365,53764

0xc2b9e536a22a5a09365a30defed3ff36a8339e85

~50d· 124 markets · 710 tradesVol: $2,4622026-08-04 21:49:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (53/122)6.7/20
1.44x (win $354 / loss $246)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.79215/15
Sortino 5.50510/10
$+0.1026 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 249 (122 markets)10/10
19/35 profitable days (54%)6.1/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($59 / $110)3.3/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+32
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#31,666$17Vol: $1,135
💰 FINANCE#59,462$9Vol: $568
⚽ SPORTS#1,164,683$-4Vol: $311
📢 MENTIONS#17,699$13Vol: $256
₿ CRYPTO#678,681$0Vol: $127
🏛️ POLITICS#1,018,807$-2Vol: $43
🎭 CULTURE#408,214$-0Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,462
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
124
total markets
Trades
344B / 366S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$32
Vol: $2,462

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
53W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$32
Win Rate
43%
53W / 69L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74 (2.3355283788021324% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$35
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?$21
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?$19
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$16
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$14
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?$13
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?$13
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-06?$12
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$12

Top Losers

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$-59
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?$-21
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?$-20
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?$-13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$-10
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-8
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-8
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-5
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.196
Sortino
0.189
HHI
262
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
25.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 129s — normal for humanCV 1.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)36.9%
High (>55c)56.7%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 6:30:58 PM14 trades$1043 min
6/16/2026, 3:44:50 PM12 trades$955 min
6/5/2026, 4:53:12 AM9 trades$905 min
5/6/2026, 4:16:24 PM17 trades$9012 min
5/1/2026, 9:08:42 PM2 trades$750 min
5/6/2026, 3:47:56 PM12 trades$675 min
5/3/2026, 3:33:42 PM7 trades$585 min
6/16/2026, 8:25:10 AM15 trades$443 min
5/6/2026, 2:20:24 PM12 trades$405 min
6/12/2026, 7:56:15 PM2 trades$380 min
5/6/2026, 3:17:48 PM27 trades$3818 min
6/4/2026, 2:58:58 PM4 trades$362 min
6/11/2026, 10:38:27 AM10 trades$328 min
6/4/2026, 9:01:10 AM5 trades$310 min
4/28/2026, 7:07:24 PM4 trades$311 min
5/6/2026, 2:37:17 PM18 trades$3113 min
6/19/2026, 8:10:50 AM26 trades$3010 min
6/17/2026, 6:48:20 AM16 trades$2911 min
4/29/2026, 9:20:48 AM5 trades$271 min
6/11/2026, 4:27:36 PM9 trades$261 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
04-29
05-06
06-04
06-14
06-20
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.4 / M36.9 / H56.7