erenyeagr

@erenyeagr

#2,834,21760

0xc66c217a908c37c20bd8839a44943e160bc736ac

~171d· 115 markets · 3391 tradesVol: $268,502 @Erenyeager3Q32026-08-05 16:39:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (8/25)1/20
2.39x (win $1,216 / loss $508)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.51615/15
Sortino 12.05610/10
$+0.0744 per $1 invested3.7/10
HHI 1310 (25 markets)5.9/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($393 / $1,101)6.9/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,526,308$-103Vol: $213,776
💰 FINANCE#641,548$-188Vol: $32,909
CRYPTO#1,464,204$-97Vol: $12,228
🎭 CULTURE#763,399$-52Vol: $9,230
🌤️ WEATHER#193,149$-1Vol: $308
📈 ECONOMICS#432,005$-1Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-442
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$268,502
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
115
total markets
Trades
2336B / 1055S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~171d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $75
Week
$-4
Vol: $2,040
Month
$-10
Vol: $2,605
All Time
$-442
Vol: $268,502

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
8W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-442
Win Rate
32%
8W / 17L
Profit Factor
2.39x
Avg Win
$152
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,126 (2.547897486937049% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$876
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?$191
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$59
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?$53
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$15
Will Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$9
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?$0

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?$-238
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?$-41
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?$-36
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$-32
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?$-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?$-30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?$-18
Will Ramush Haradinaj be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$-13
Will Lumir Abdixhiku be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$-13
Will Bedri Hamza be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.178
Sortino
0.564
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.815
Kelly %
13.7%
Half-Kelly
6.9%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
5.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.8

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 987s — normal for humanCV 1.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
41.2
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56.9%
Mid (20-55c)8.6%
High (>55c)34.5%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 7:32:00 PM23 trades$6345 min
7/19/2026, 8:34:36 AM12 trades$3992 min
6/7/2026, 3:59:54 PM22 trades$3255 min
5/29/2026, 9:59:17 AM23 trades$3098 min
6/17/2026, 7:42:19 AM21 trades$3026 min
7/15/2026, 8:37:31 AM13 trades$2808 min
7/11/2026, 10:27:25 AM21 trades$2808 min
6/17/2026, 8:59:16 PM38 trades$2694 min
6/9/2026, 8:16:33 AM27 trades$2605 min
7/25/2026, 11:46:55 AM23 trades$25615 min
7/14/2026, 1:10:19 PM7 trades$2545 min
6/14/2026, 8:14:30 AM20 trades$2519 min
6/23/2026, 9:20:05 AM27 trades$2332 min
6/12/2026, 11:15:33 AM12 trades$2292 min
6/12/2026, 9:29:19 AM18 trades$2246 min
6/25/2026, 7:26:07 AM26 trades$2155 min
6/16/2026, 8:30:32 PM25 trades$2129 min
7/17/2026, 9:07:31 AM16 trades$2104 min
6/30/2026, 8:43:26 PM16 trades$2026 min
6/13/2026, 9:13:33 AM20 trades$1999 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
03-07
03-23
05-03
05-31
06-05
06-09
06-16
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 41.2/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.9 / M8.6 / H34.5