@ericfire
#2,379,80490x56b7e2ae81882a85eeff0cec6de56c3e70e44354
~5d· 29 markets · 173 tradesVol: $3,6462026-08-05 02:44:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
34% (10/29)2.2/20
0.30x (win $86 / loss $284)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.6290/15
Sortino -7.4400/10
$-0.8160 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1117 (29 markets)6.9/10
6/23 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($199 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Contrarian
88% entries < $0.55
Categories
2₿ CRYPTO#1,377,286$-46Vol: $3,371
🌤️ WEATHER#239,800$-8Vol: $275
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-54
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,646
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
80B / 93S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~5d
Periods
#2Month
$-46
Vol: $3,368
All Time
$-54
Vol: $3,646
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
34%
10W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-54
Win Rate
34%
10W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53 (0.9879562720029648% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$10
XRP Up or Down - August 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5
XRP Up or Down - August 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?$0
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$-87
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$-15
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$-13
Solana Up or Down - August 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.391
Sortino
-0.411
HHI
1158
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.816
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.9%
Top-5 markets
52.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
36.3m
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 33s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule16 trades/day — very active2.6 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.97
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.5%
Mid (20-55c)85%
High (>55c)12.5%
Sessions
#128/1/2026, 4:26:18 AM36 trades$852 min
8/1/2026, 4:34:02 AM4 trades$580 min
8/1/2026, 2:20:05 PM18 trades$431 min
8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM10 trades$390 min
8/1/2026, 5:30:32 AM14 trades$351 min
8/1/2026, 2:04:30 PM11 trades$254 min
8/1/2026, 9:49:12 PM11 trades$242 min
8/1/2026, 4:33:21 PM6 trades$201 min
8/2/2026, 1:07:41 AM6 trades$203 min
8/2/2026, 4:34:00 AM4 trades$200 min
8/1/2026, 9:15:14 PM7 trades$175 min
8/1/2026, 9:30:26 AM5 trades$161 min
8/1/2026, 7:10:26 AM6 trades$152 min
8/1/2026, 3:22:20 PM4 trades$150 min
8/1/2026, 8:31:47 PM4 trades$151 min
8/1/2026, 10:54:59 AM4 trades$110 min
8/1/2026, 6:53:23 PM2 trades$100 min
8/1/2026, 11:17:56 PM3 trades$100 min
8/1/2026, 7:14:44 PM3 trades$60 min
7/24/2026, 1:10:49 AM4 trades$31 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-23 12:00:00
2026-08-01 05:35:00
2026-08-01 07:45:00
2026-08-01 14:10:00
2026-08-01 15:30:00
2026-08-01 19:30:00
2026-08-01 21:55:00
2026-08-02 01:15:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
17.2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.97/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L2.5 / M85 / H12.5