@espgianca2

#3,023,79274

0x37e686a200d2ccdb17ebf0e6bb4c6174d5b7f35c

~151d· 390 markets · 7859 tradesVol: $553,7172026-08-04 21:25:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (143/381)3.8/20
1.96x (win $52,274 / loss $26,657)14.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.04915/15
Sortino 9.51810/10
$+0.2604 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 200 (381 markets)10/10
51/120 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($7,973 / $25,617)7.8/10

Badges

3
Whale
$98,375 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,430$-2,147Vol: $476,398
⚽ SPORTS#1,805,695$-583Vol: $31,527
📈 ECONOMICS#673,614$-352Vol: $17,462
💰 FINANCE#11,430$227Vol: $12,161
🎭 CULTURE#771,636$-70Vol: $8,685
📢 MENTIONS#163,268$-96Vol: $1,847
💻 TECH#241,774$-38Vol: $1,702
🌤️ WEATHER#6,446$119Vol: $1,595

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,035
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$553,717
Total Redeem
$18
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
390
total markets
Trades
3252B / 4607S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~151d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-387
Vol: $710
Month
$-350
Vol: $811
All Time
$-3,035
Vol: $553,717

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
142W / 238L events
Realized PnL
$-3,035
Win Rate
37%
142W / 238L
Profit Factor
1.96x
Avg Win
$366
Avg Loss
$-121

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,996 (5.599783205332226% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$8,011
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4,579
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$4,407
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$3,958
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$3,838
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$2,512
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1,925
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$1,479
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,162
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1,043

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,274
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$-2,050
US strikes Iraq by March 7?$-1,308
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-1,005
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-924
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$-794
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$-760
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-636
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-620
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$-576

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.107
Sortino
0.429
HHI
236
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.203
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
20.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
47.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 255s — normal for humanCV 2.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock48 trades/day — high frequency2.4 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)34.3%
High (>55c)53.6%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 10:10:58 PM14 trades$8,0927 min
6/15/2026, 11:10:40 PM8 trades$4,4142 min
6/14/2026, 9:07:39 PM76 trades$4,14629 min
4/23/2026, 10:02:14 PM2 trades$3,4100 min
4/29/2026, 11:22:36 AM4 trades$3,1992 min
3/4/2026, 1:04:35 AM2 trades$2,9532 min
4/29/2026, 2:28:42 PM2 trades$2,9270 min
3/4/2026, 1:57:13 PM7 trades$2,8915 min
3/3/2026, 11:54:51 PM2 trades$2,5674 min
4/13/2026, 11:27:31 AM14 trades$2,2400 min
3/5/2026, 12:43:09 AM2 trades$2,0752 min
6/14/2026, 10:04:22 PM25 trades$2,0419 min
4/26/2026, 6:44:10 PM4 trades$1,9100 min
6/11/2026, 5:32:28 PM67 trades$1,74333 min
7/6/2026, 10:27:04 PM22 trades$1,60011 min
3/5/2026, 2:59:41 PM2 trades$1,5990 min
4/14/2026, 7:10:26 PM38 trades$1,50818 min
6/14/2026, 9:42:13 PM32 trades$1,4999 min
4/17/2026, 1:39:02 PM37 trades$1,40811 min
3/2/2026, 10:23:07 PM11 trades$1,40111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-21
04-17
05-13
06-08
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M34.3 / H53.6