@expertgambler
#2,882,515350x7ff5c583344a66d94c5f978949e3390df8f53489
~65d· 2882 markets · 13353 tradesVol: $207,8262026-08-05 17:25:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
68% (1970/2882)19.2/20
0.92x (win $8,191 / loss $8,921)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8460/15
Sortino -2.7290/10
$-0.0077 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 10 (2882 markets)10/10
32/65 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 313% of peak ($1,188 / $379)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 68%
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Whale
$94,171 invested
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#1,564,448$-298Vol: $186,284
🌤️ WEATHER#287,694$-127Vol: $9,612
💰 FINANCE#645,503$-273Vol: $6,948
⚽ SPORTS#263,055$13Vol: $2,817
🎭 CULTURE#43,600$26Vol: $1,320
📈 ECONOMICS#53,073$6Vol: $510
🏛️ POLITICS#234,781$4Vol: $270
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-648
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$207,826
Total Redeem
$1,645
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2882
total markets
Trades
13022B / 331S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d
Periods
#2Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-648
Vol: $207,826
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
1970W / 912L events
Realized PnL
$-648
Win Rate
68%
1970W / 912L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $880 (1.3589054634176472% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$400
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$240
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$240
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$240
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$240
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$240
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$240
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$240
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$240
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$193
Top Losers
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 10?$-300
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?$-187
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$-93
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$-92
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$-87
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$-86
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$-69
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$-50
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.096
Sortino
-0.146
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
2.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
65.5
Very active
Markets / Day
14.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.1m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
30 min
Avg Trades / Session
123.2
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock65 trades/day — mass trading14 markets/day — mass coverage72% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.63
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.9%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)40.8%
Sessions
#122/23/2026, 8:55:44 AM2753 trades$11,716556 min
2/22/2026, 11:20:46 AM2082 trades$9,165534 min
2/20/2026, 9:04:24 PM307 trades$2,907141 min
2/20/2026, 11:32:30 PM115 trades$95443 min
4/6/2026, 10:02:39 AM30 trades$6301 min
2/20/2026, 5:59:54 PM48 trades$59158 min
2/12/2026, 5:13:25 PM1 trades$5000 min
3/27/2026, 10:47:13 AM10 trades$4953 min
1/7/2026, 1:00:07 PM73 trades$48018 min
2/20/2026, 1:38:28 PM15 trades$46919 min
2/20/2026, 2:33:12 PM33 trades$46720 min
1/7/2026, 9:46:37 AM220 trades$45413 min
1/15/2026, 10:58:44 PM21 trades$4352 min
1/15/2026, 4:59:06 PM23 trades$4301 min
7/17/2026, 8:31:22 AM10 trades$4250 min
2/11/2026, 3:56:51 PM2 trades$3801 min
3/25/2026, 2:27:09 PM3 trades$3501 min
1/15/2026, 10:42:12 PM16 trades$3503 min
1/13/2026, 5:44:05 PM12 trades$3481 min
1/16/2026, 6:59:06 AM19 trades$3431 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
01-15
01-27
02-08
03-11
04-06
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 63 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.9 / M33.3 / H40.8