@exponentially
#2,712,795510xa2d71813dc3857e582130015bd60e5edb61ee3b7
~86d· 218 markets · 11224 tradesVol: $1,192,3112026-08-04 17:19:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (101/214)8.6/20
1.15x (win $28,697 / loss $25,012)4.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.79614.9/15
Sortino 2.24110/10
$+0.0253 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 144 (214 markets)10/10
25/69 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 100% of peak ($6,199 / $6,210)0/10
Badges
7Diamond Hands
10% sells
DCA Master
Avg 52.4 entries/market
Whale
$145,852 invested
High Roller
$1,621/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders
Categories
2🎭 CULTURE#795,066$-202Vol: $1,192,111
🌤️ WEATHER#193,399$-1Vol: $200
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,192,311
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
218
total markets
Trades
10133B / 1091S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d
Periods
#2Today
$64
Vol: $1,794
Week
$-133
Vol: $2,889
Month
$151
Vol: $3,847
All Time
$-203
Vol: $1,192,311
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
101W / 113L events
Realized PnL
$-203
Win Rate
47%
101W / 113L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$284
Avg Loss
$-223
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,925 (78.37339435995865% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$9,218
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$3,923
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2,784
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1,794
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1,274
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$1,170
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1,060
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$758
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$712
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$629
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$-2,088
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-999
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-848
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-708
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-703
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-677
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-658
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$-653
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$-636
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-583
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.041
Sortino
0.124
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
15.5%
Half-Kelly
7.8%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
17.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
124.7
Very active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.3m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
23 min
Avg Trades / Session
45.9
Bot Detection
#665
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock125 trades/day — automation2.4 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
52.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.1%
Mid (20-55c)20.5%
High (>55c)62.4%
Sessions
#126/8/2026, 4:53:39 PM115 trades$3,09654 min
6/7/2026, 11:20:33 AM48 trades$2,65612 min
6/7/2026, 1:06:34 PM103 trades$2,38931 min
6/12/2026, 2:07:09 PM133 trades$2,16249 min
5/29/2026, 7:59:32 PM54 trades$1,94622 min
5/31/2026, 10:13:37 PM26 trades$1,90713 min
6/6/2026, 5:55:12 AM51 trades$1,7837 min
5/31/2026, 10:36:01 PM17 trades$1,6719 min
6/4/2026, 4:47:30 AM60 trades$1,61759 min
6/5/2026, 1:49:16 PM39 trades$1,47916 min
6/9/2026, 1:54:48 PM64 trades$1,37141 min
6/9/2026, 11:32:49 PM45 trades$1,2217 min
6/16/2026, 1:33:56 PM81 trades$1,17422 min
6/4/2026, 8:36:31 PM36 trades$1,09927 min
6/9/2026, 3:42:25 PM36 trades$1,09922 min
6/8/2026, 4:34:58 PM40 trades$1,05413 min
6/5/2026, 6:37:24 PM28 trades$1,04133 min
6/6/2026, 4:19:54 PM34 trades$93330 min
6/1/2026, 1:29:38 AM27 trades$92026 min
6/15/2026, 6:48:54 PM63 trades$90935 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-08
05-19
06-06
06-17
06-28
07-13
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.1 / M20.5 / H62.4