@fafafaf111

#112,00260

0x594d8a30d544e3d00c3cf25339cd0f5da0fea217

~161d· 228 markets · 727 tradesVol: $111,6472026-08-04 23:03:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (198/217)20/20
1.22x (win $738 / loss $607)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4067.6/15
Sortino 0.7137.1/10
$+0.0028 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 207 (217 markets)10/10
97/111 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 108% of peak ($301 / $279)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+538
Consistent
97/111 profitable days
Win Streak
36 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,447,211$-41Vol: $60,378
CRYPTO#178,841$21Vol: $15,935
🎭 CULTURE#46,124$23Vol: $14,585
📈 ECONOMICS#8,196$202Vol: $7,554
💰 FINANCE#23,583$61Vol: $5,471
📢 MENTIONS#20,348$9Vol: $1,478
SPORTS#404,178$2Vol: $976
💻 TECH#51,276$1Vol: $558
🌤️ WEATHER#13,647$29Vol: $279

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$539
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$111,647
Total Redeem
$41
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
228
total markets
Trades
425B / 302S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~161d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$539
Vol: $111,647

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
198W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$538
Win Rate
91%
198W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $536 (0.9965421724823857% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$477
Will Radiant Win More Games at the Dota EWC 2026?$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on July 5?$29
Will the US loose jobs in September?$19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$12
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$11
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?$11
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?$8
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$6
Trump out as President by April 30?$5

Top Losers

Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in June?$-301
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-126
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?$-47
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-30
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$-29
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-19
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$-18
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?$-11
Iran leadership change by March 13?$-8
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.021
Sortino
0.013
HHI
176
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
54.9%
Half-Kelly
27.4%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 474s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.29
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)89.2%

Sessions

#12
12/23/2025, 11:11:17 AM10 trades$2,15616 min
3/13/2026, 12:15:23 PM18 trades$2,00517 min
12/11/2025, 1:01:41 PM3 trades$1,9121 min
12/13/2025, 8:20:34 AM2 trades$1,9011 min
12/11/2025, 12:18:13 PM8 trades$1,79211 min
3/13/2026, 1:09:17 PM7 trades$1,5697 min
3/13/2026, 3:34:07 PM1 trades$1,2100 min
4/12/2026, 4:20:03 PM1 trades$1,0120 min
4/13/2026, 12:53:39 AM2 trades$1,0120 min
3/13/2026, 11:52:05 AM4 trades$1,0054 min
12/21/2025, 3:49:33 AM1 trades$9860 min
12/20/2025, 4:37:40 AM1 trades$9830 min
12/21/2025, 2:03:03 AM2 trades$9833 min
12/19/2025, 2:05:05 AM2 trades$9824 min
12/13/2025, 2:20:07 AM2 trades$9563 min
12/14/2025, 2:28:47 AM1 trades$9510 min
12/11/2025, 7:06:31 AM6 trades$9494 min
12/11/2025, 4:25:39 AM2 trades$9481 min
12/11/2025, 3:18:19 AM9 trades$9481 min
12/11/2025, 8:25:19 AM14 trades$9466 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
11-11
12-13
01-14
03-05
04-22
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.1 / M0.7 / H89.2