@failedbet
#41,416830xe350d874195530e434ed618c36262ddcbaf4c0c8
~82d· 160 markets · 778 tradesVol: $68,2472026-08-06 02:07:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (83/160)10.9/20
2.89x (win $10,925 / loss $3,777)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.55415/15
Sortino 9.65710/10
$+0.5737 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1089 (160 markets)7.1/10
37/72 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($1,646 / $8,666)10/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+2,686
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6📢 MENTIONS#500$3,331Vol: $47,760
⚽ SPORTS#1,798,825$-522Vol: $10,095
₿ CRYPTO#1,387,578$-49Vol: $4,365
🏛️ POLITICS#1,456,821$-46Vol: $4,021
🎭 CULTURE#747,639$-34Vol: $1,714
💰 FINANCE#437,378$-1Vol: $184
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,686
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$68,247
Total Redeem
$1,214
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
160
total markets
Trades
453B / 325S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,686
Vol: $68,247
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
83W / 77L events
Realized PnL
$2,686
Win Rate
52%
83W / 77L
Profit Factor
2.89x
Avg Win
$132
Avg Loss
$-52
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,482 (1.2966076767556418% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1,582
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?$1,022
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$878
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?$635
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?$617
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$579
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina$531
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$513
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$494
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$429
Top Losers
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,615
Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$-277
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$-240
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$-163
Will 7+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-138
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-134
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?$-107
Will Trump or Melania say "Greatest military" or "Strongest military" at the Military Mothers event?$-106
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)$-82
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$-71
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.237
Sortino
0.359
HHI
517
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.517
Kelly %
2.4%
Half-Kelly
1.2%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
43.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 846s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.06
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.4%
Mid (20-55c)40.2%
High (>55c)42.4%
Sessions
#125/21/2026, 5:57:45 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/15/2026, 8:39:11 PM2 trades$1,7510 min
5/14/2026, 1:18:32 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/15/2026, 7:28:18 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/12/2026, 3:31:50 PM18 trades$9047 min
5/15/2026, 2:39:05 PM7 trades$8521 min
7/10/2026, 8:38:52 AM5 trades$7400 min
5/1/2026, 9:15:42 PM12 trades$6587 min
5/7/2026, 6:51:40 PM3 trades$6264 min
5/14/2026, 1:25:34 AM24 trades$62314 min
5/7/2026, 5:37:46 PM4 trades$6001 min
5/12/2026, 7:29:32 PM9 trades$5336 min
5/6/2026, 4:54:17 PM7 trades$5240 min
5/1/2026, 9:56:28 PM3 trades$5031 min
6/7/2026, 8:42:43 PM6 trades$4770 min
4/27/2026, 9:37:32 PM2 trades$4500 min
6/6/2026, 6:38:33 PM5 trades$4300 min
6/1/2026, 2:23:07 PM6 trades$4104 min
4/26/2026, 1:40:56 AM4 trades$3870 min
5/7/2026, 7:50:56 PM2 trades$3641 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-10
11-23
03-04
03-25
04-29
05-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.4 / M40.2 / H42.4