@fcwl

#44,48258

0x6243d0b16c5030dbddaa5a51d9134337d1c3e014

~135d· 2233 markets · 10575 tradesVol: $474,7372026-08-05 19:03:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (1142/2227)10.6/20
1.29x (win $6,414 / loss $4,982)6.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.62115/15
Sortino 2.34610/10
$+0.0564 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 73 (2227 markets)10/10
57/130 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($1,294 / $1,861)0.1/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+2,454
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#758$2,622Vol: $453,550
SPORTS#1,749,244$-224Vol: $8,846
🎭 CULTURE#635,957$-5Vol: $4,361
CRYPTO#243,322$9Vol: $3,683
📢 MENTIONS#11,220$34Vol: $2,014
💰 FINANCE#31,544$34Vol: $1,076
🏛️ POLITICS#1,322,006$-14Vol: $1,022
📈 ECONOMICS#449,131$-1Vol: $150
💻 TECH#180,786$-1Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,454
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$474,737
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2233
total markets
Trades
7260B / 3315S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~135d

Periods

#2
Today
$93
Vol: $2,765
Week
$351
Vol: $20,731
Month
$386
Vol: $28,047
All Time
$2,454
Vol: $474,737

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
1142W / 1085L events
Realized PnL
$2,454
Win Rate
51%
1142W / 1085L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,120 (0.4563993285309169% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?$451
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?$345
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?$324
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?$305
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$282
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$274
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?$214
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?$190
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?$188
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$183

Top Losers

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-1,050
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 20?$-358
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?$-113
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$-103
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 12?$-85
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 7?$-80
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 30?$-73
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$-62
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?$-60
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$-56

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.085
Sortino
0.096
HHI
126
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
17.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
58.8
Very active
Markets / Day
12.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.1m
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 208s — normal for humanCV 5.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock59 trades/day — mass trading12 markets/day — mass coverage58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.79
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.3%
Mid (20-55c)4.4%
High (>55c)33.3%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 2:44:27 PM4 trades$2,5003 min
6/4/2026, 11:58:18 PM33 trades$1,24412 min
6/5/2026, 5:16:24 PM5 trades$1,2000 min
6/28/2026, 1:48:19 AM49 trades$1,16611 min
6/20/2026, 6:49:34 AM26 trades$1,10118 min
5/13/2026, 4:16:59 AM4 trades$1,0042 min
5/1/2026, 11:59:30 PM7 trades$9552 min
6/7/2026, 6:22:45 AM19 trades$8489 min
6/16/2026, 11:57:02 PM25 trades$8408 min
6/7/2026, 8:21:18 AM11 trades$7874 min
6/30/2026, 6:01:29 AM55 trades$74713 min
7/9/2026, 2:42:56 AM37 trades$70414 min
5/10/2026, 5:23:09 AM10 trades$70413 min
6/18/2026, 1:20:34 AM14 trades$6498 min
5/9/2026, 6:44:34 AM36 trades$62127 min
4/25/2026, 1:45:16 AM32 trades$56234 min
5/12/2026, 1:11:41 AM6 trades$5124 min
8/3/2026, 4:20:45 PM2 trades$5040 min
4/24/2026, 3:13:04 PM8 trades$5044 min
7/26/2026, 4:14:33 PM11 trades$5014 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
03-14
04-04
05-07
06-05
06-27
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
80% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.79/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.3 / M4.4 / H33.3