@fer2h29

#2,814,22337

0xeb6be6ff9c4ecb373ae0e091eb2769db57336266

~307d· 4557 markets · 16843 tradesVol: $278,884 @Fer2h292026-08-04 23:03:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (3146/4383)20/20
0.78x (win $1,448 / loss $1,862)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4920/15
Sortino -0.5400/10
$-0.0029 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 19 (4383 markets)10/10
176/295 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 355% of peak ($982 / $277)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Whale
$143,194 invested
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#7,108$99Vol: $86,169
🏛️ POLITICS#1,588,579$-364Vol: $77,350
SPORTS#1,648,771$-79Vol: $62,000
CRYPTO#1,183,275$-12Vol: $24,646
🎭 CULTURE#753,744$-40Vol: $13,447
💰 FINANCE#49,878$13Vol: $12,530
💻 TECH#161,189$-0Vol: $1,086
📈 ECONOMICS#218,186$0Vol: $358
📢 MENTIONS#58,912$0Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-380
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$278,884
Total Redeem
$71
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4557
total markets
Trades
10894B / 5949S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~307d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $405
Week
$2
Vol: $1,333
Month
$3
Vol: $1,888
All Time
$-380
Vol: $278,884

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
3144W / 1239L events
Realized PnL
$-380
Win Rate
72%
3144W / 1239L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $535 (1.40600436394227% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$344
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$99
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$91
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 4?$42
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?$40
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 9?$23
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 10?$16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?$14
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12

Top Losers

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-803
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-254
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?$-173
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 17?$-78
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-22
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?$-20
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$-19
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 5?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.026
Sortino
-0.018
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
52.5
Very active
Markets / Day
14.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.9m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 170s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock52 trades/day — mass trading14 markets/day — mass coverage52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.77
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)96%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 10:23:43 PM47 trades$62525 min
3/8/2026, 9:55:35 PM34 trades$59843 min
4/11/2026, 9:24:51 PM40 trades$56012 min
5/5/2026, 7:17:30 AM46 trades$55243 min
4/10/2026, 8:56:55 PM36 trades$51211 min
1/22/2026, 10:32:06 PM15 trades$48617 min
3/4/2026, 11:38:05 AM5 trades$4807 min
6/9/2026, 10:53:54 PM31 trades$47814 min
3/2/2026, 11:42:29 PM19 trades$46435 min
5/19/2026, 9:43:44 PM24 trades$45912 min
5/18/2026, 9:51:08 PM25 trades$45010 min
4/30/2026, 7:29:20 AM42 trades$44522 min
5/2/2026, 9:55:36 PM44 trades$43938 min
4/5/2026, 9:58:09 PM30 trades$41315 min
1/26/2026, 10:07:29 AM21 trades$41130 min
1/29/2026, 10:43:14 AM13 trades$41011 min
12/26/2025, 10:57:27 PM20 trades$39822 min
1/20/2026, 10:43:42 PM10 trades$39710 min
3/1/2026, 5:38:03 AM7 trades$39614 min
6/19/2026, 8:31:47 AM24 trades$3969 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-18
11-19
01-07
02-25
04-15
06-05
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
28% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M0.7 / H96