@ferliu
#403,176460x9a31f52b432003d464704c37aff239bb2cfcb2c2
~127d· 460 markets · 1596 tradesVol: $225,2862026-08-04 18:11:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
35% (161/457)2.6/20
1.11x (win $9,082 / loss $8,198)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.75514.2/15
Sortino 1.31710/10
$+0.0460 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 120 (457 markets)10/10
46/108 profitable days (43%)3.1/10
Max DD 121% of peak ($2,038 / $1,690)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+23
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#33,741$828Vol: $101,681
🌤️ WEATHER#292,971$-287Vol: $66,495
⚽ SPORTS#1,799,011$-533Vol: $26,436
📈 ECONOMICS#623,561$-18Vol: $12,706
🏛️ POLITICS#1,560,087$-196Vol: $4,914
💰 FINANCE#32,352$32Vol: $1,144
Overview
#1Net PnL
$23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$225,286
Total Redeem
$5,502
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
460
total markets
Trades
950B / 646S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~127d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
35%
161W / 296L events
Realized PnL
$23
Win Rate
35%
161W / 296L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-29
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,940 (86.02305986696231% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1,338
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$308
Will $MELANIA FDV be $1-3b on Friday?$293
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$266
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$253
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?$244
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 26?$220
Will US unemployment be 4.1% or lower in December 2024?$209
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in February?$190
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$187
Top Losers
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?$-542
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?$-314
Was Milei hacked?$-200
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$-200
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?$-200
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$-190
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?$-180
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?$-170
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$-149
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?$-110
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.039
Sortino
0.063
HHI
169
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.044
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
22.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 2.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.66
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)46.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.6%
High (>55c)17.8%
Sessions
#125/29/2026, 7:37:37 PM60 trades$1,86714 min
7/6/2026, 12:08:46 AM27 trades$1,3356 min
6/4/2026, 1:21:34 AM52 trades$1,3014 min
6/19/2026, 8:27:53 PM44 trades$1,30012 min
4/2/2026, 9:19:49 AM5 trades$1,0631 min
2/1/2025, 7:33:33 PM5 trades$8756 min
2/28/2026, 9:01:23 AM2 trades$8560 min
3/16/2026, 5:48:35 PM5 trades$8002 min
6/22/2026, 8:43:07 AM57 trades$74621 min
1/20/2025, 11:57:07 AM1 trades$7040 min
4/21/2026, 11:15:40 PM23 trades$6793 min
6/24/2026, 12:29:04 AM2 trades$6341 min
1/20/2026, 7:12:04 PM2 trades$6041 min
7/14/2026, 2:20:52 PM6 trades$5840 min
2/13/2026, 11:40:09 PM2 trades$5501 min
1/24/2025, 5:55:03 AM1 trades$5490 min
7/7/2026, 12:02:47 AM40 trades$5469 min
12/16/2025, 2:24:49 PM1 trades$5000 min
4/15/2026, 9:58:32 PM7 trades$4970 min
1/22/2025, 6:00:39 PM4 trades$4852 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-05
02-08
09-03
01-13
03-02
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 306 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.66/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.6 / M35.6 / H17.8