fireman8d2

@fireman8d2

#2,638,04833

0xf8adf1a3fc13c882f7c933a219eef3bdfe6497a3

~43d· 32 markets · 82 tradesVol: $7,9322026-08-04 20:05:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (19/24)20/20
0.13x (win $30 / loss $238)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3250/15
Sortino -5.1340/10
$-0.1500 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1866 (24 markets)3.2/10
12/17 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 3761% of peak ($215 / $6)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
7% sells
Consistent
12/17 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#110,898$32Vol: $6,394
🎭 CULTURE#96,967$4Vol: $540
CRYPTO#1,526,614$-181Vol: $513
💻 TECH#221,868$-7Vol: $269
💰 FINANCE#113,097$2Vol: $108
SPORTS#323,669$6Vol: $77
📈 ECONOMICS#81,045$2Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-140
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,932
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
76B / 6S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $40
Week
$7
Vol: $105
Month
$6
Vol: $105
All Time
$-140
Vol: $7,932

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
19W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-140
Win Rate
79%
19W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-48

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13 (0.09072681704260652% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?$5
Pistons vs. Pacers$3
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?$3
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 500 (BO3)$3
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?$3
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$2
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?$2
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1PM ET$-196
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-20
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?$-8
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5$-7
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.270
Sortino
-0.155
HHI
501
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.252
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.1%
Top-5 markets
44.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1206s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.71
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.3%
Mid (20-55c)15.8%
High (>55c)32.9%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 6:20:12 PM1 trades$2350 min
11/24/2025, 6:00:55 PM6 trades$1966 min
3/17/2026, 5:09:35 PM1 trades$1610 min
12/25/2025, 7:48:11 PM2 trades$1223 min
11/27/2025, 9:41:47 PM3 trades$1066 min
3/4/2026, 11:36:45 AM1 trades$1040 min
7/28/2026, 10:53:49 PM1 trades$910 min
7/29/2026, 1:02:44 PM1 trades$750 min
4/16/2026, 7:50:44 PM2 trades$481 min
12/23/2025, 3:41:43 PM1 trades$400 min
11/24/2025, 11:09:41 AM3 trades$391 min
11/21/2025, 6:11:07 PM3 trades$345 min
3/4/2026, 6:28:15 AM2 trades$314 min
3/4/2026, 6:17:19 AM1 trades$270 min
3/17/2026, 4:31:05 PM1 trades$230 min
1/3/2026, 6:18:25 AM1 trades$220 min
7/24/2026, 6:14:04 PM2 trades$210 min
3/4/2026, 8:04:09 AM1 trades$200 min
1/25/2026, 2:53:58 PM2 trades$203 min
3/13/2026, 12:27:31 AM1 trades$170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-20
11-22
11-27
12-04
12-25
12-31
01-25
02-14
03-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 101 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.3 / M15.8 / H32.9