@firstrun

#65,91444

0x923539425dcff18b296d7ca283872daad5c53fbd

~147d· 1072 markets · 5199 tradesVol: $473,641 @moldy_nuts2026-08-04 22:10:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (806/1070)20/20
1.02x (win $18,120 / loss $17,815)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1342.5/15
Sortino 0.1871.9/10
$+0.0017 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 33 (1070 markets)10/10
80/138 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 94% of peak ($3,619 / $3,835)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+1,442
Whale
$180,819 invested
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,567,875$-42Vol: $100,675
🏛️ POLITICS#1,555,785$-173Vol: $5,869
CRYPTO#1,526,954$-182Vol: $3,180
🎭 CULTURE#25,242$71Vol: $1,834
💻 TECH#243,128$-45Vol: $1,659
📢 MENTIONS#101,192$-3Vol: $423
💰 FINANCE#43,536$17Vol: $289
📈 ECONOMICS#25,123$27Vol: $253
🌤️ WEATHER#262,580$-22Vol: $27

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,442
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$473,641
Total Redeem
$1,247
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1072
total markets
Trades
2775B / 2424S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~147d

Periods

#2
Today
$-146
Vol: $1,503
Week
$-51
Vol: $14,810
Month
$-152
Vol: $22,054
All Time
$1,442
Vol: $473,641

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
806W / 262L events
Realized PnL
$1,442
Win Rate
75%
806W / 262L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-86

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,028 (2.0993191996783187% of PnL)

Top Winners

Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage$1,413
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,110
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$505
Rainbow Six Siege: Geekay Esports vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage$262
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$241
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$225
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs Wildcard Gaming (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage$208
Spurs vs. Knicks$164
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Wildcard Gaming (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage$158
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$158

Top Losers

Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$-1,609
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner$-964
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-836
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-597
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$-451
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-412
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$-400
Knicks vs. Spurs$-351
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS - Game 1 Winner$-337
Will France win on 2026-06-04?$-330

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.007
Sortino
0.007
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.3m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 481s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.99
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.9%
High (>55c)96.8%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 9:37:41 PM29 trades$4,4853 min
7/19/2026, 1:20:16 AM7 trades$3,0383 min
7/12/2026, 6:25:52 PM15 trades$3,0094 min
7/17/2026, 12:31:13 AM28 trades$2,3118 min
6/28/2026, 9:59:20 PM18 trades$2,3082 min
6/8/2026, 8:40:36 PM21 trades$2,1509 min
7/12/2026, 5:00:02 PM8 trades$1,9780 min
6/27/2026, 8:02:55 PM9 trades$1,7305 min
7/11/2026, 12:50:23 PM4 trades$1,5595 min
6/8/2026, 8:23:31 PM35 trades$1,5191 min
6/5/2026, 8:33:46 PM4 trades$1,5141 min
8/2/2026, 12:02:36 PM6 trades$1,4111 min
7/11/2026, 10:14:52 AM9 trades$1,3862 min
7/3/2026, 7:04:17 PM19 trades$1,3834 min
6/22/2026, 7:57:38 PM22 trades$1,3006 min
6/8/2026, 7:31:03 PM3 trades$1,2140 min
6/13/2026, 3:09:58 PM6 trades$1,2080 min
6/25/2026, 8:58:31 PM24 trades$1,1908 min
5/10/2026, 5:51:53 PM7 trades$1,1624 min
7/27/2026, 8:21:30 AM2 trades$1,1610 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
10-27
12-17
05-21
06-15
07-11
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.4 / M2.9 / H96.8