@fledger

#2,803,70830

0x948534046a47920b90d6671ad8c7688437330918

~42d· 14 markets · 575 tradesVol: $167,9162026-08-04 19:03:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (4/5)20/20
0.06x (win $360 / loss $6,146)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0364 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6048 (5 markets)0/10
4/5 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 3887% of peak ($6,146 / $158)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 80%
DCA Master
Avg 29.4 entries/market
Whale
$158,802 invested
Consistent
4/5 profitable days
High Roller
$2,010/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#2,201$631Vol: $86,033
🏛️ POLITICS#1,616,710$-1,108Vol: $73,604
💰 FINANCE#16,058$126Vol: $8,204
🎭 CULTURE#159,102$1Vol: $75

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-351
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$167,916
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
371B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$-18
Vol: $5,235
Week
$10
Vol: $10,859
Month
$127
Vol: $11,600
All Time
$-351
Vol: $167,916

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
4W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$-351
Win Rate
80%
4W / 1L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$90
Avg Loss
$-6,146

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $337 (0.9620542082738945% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?$158
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$143
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?$36
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$22

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-6,146

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.415
Sortino
-1157292.000
HHI
329
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.150
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
24.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 216s — normal for humanCV 2.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 10:14:22 AM14 trades$21,4345 min
6/11/2026, 11:15:15 AM7 trades$15,4960 min
5/18/2026, 9:09:18 AM12 trades$12,7683 min
6/28/2026, 9:25:10 AM2 trades$9,6000 min
6/16/2026, 7:21:01 AM2 trades$9,1000 min
6/10/2026, 9:04:24 AM2 trades$9,0000 min
6/14/2026, 9:31:42 AM70 trades$8,7075 min
5/21/2026, 2:59:29 PM2 trades$6,9280 min
6/22/2026, 12:22:10 PM8 trades$5,5951 min
7/16/2026, 6:22:32 PM1 trades$5,3390 min
7/10/2026, 11:45:50 AM1 trades$5,2040 min
8/4/2026, 2:50:23 AM2 trades$5,0320 min
7/9/2026, 9:29:10 AM2 trades$4,9345 min
6/12/2026, 8:59:09 AM40 trades$4,8264 min
6/28/2026, 6:05:25 PM1 trades$4,7950 min
7/30/2026, 6:01:50 PM1 trades$4,3940 min
6/10/2026, 8:42:54 AM16 trades$4,3794 min
7/16/2026, 10:55:53 AM1 trades$3,7090 min
5/20/2026, 9:11:36 AM2 trades$3,6940 min
7/14/2026, 4:13:07 PM1 trades$2,9310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-15
06-17
06-18
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100