@forecastingwizard
#111,196800x447914dcfd396b73c5c6aec2fbd21bec6bc9d276
~21d· 21 markets · 52 tradesVol: $70,7182026-08-06 08:16:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
100% (21/21)20/20
99.00x (win $943 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 11.64915/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0144 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 640 (21 markets)9.3/10
20/20 profitable days (100%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $943)10/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+548
Whale
$65,637 invested
Consistent
20/20 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#37,908$272Vol: $36,097
📈 ECONOMICS#12,368$102Vol: $18,327
₿ CRYPTO#128,683$50Vol: $9,044
📢 MENTIONS#5,394$121Vol: $5,250
🎭 CULTURE#99,294$4Vol: $2,000
Overview
#1Net PnL
$548
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,718
Total Redeem
$4,162
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
45B / 7S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
100%
21W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$548
Win Rate
100%
21W / 0L
Profit Factor
99x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$0
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $564 (1.028415101221959% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$355
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$119
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$90
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$72
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$66
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$50
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$33
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$33
Trump out as President by March 31?$21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$18
Top Losers
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.594
Sortino
inf
HHI
1539
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
66.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0m
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 105s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%
Sessions
#127/29/2026, 5:13:44 PM2 trades$4,5460 min
7/1/2026, 12:35:05 AM1 trades$4,5270 min
6/13/2026, 4:02:49 PM1 trades$4,5140 min
6/2/2026, 10:22:22 PM1 trades$4,4670 min
5/27/2026, 3:48:19 PM2 trades$4,4331 min
5/25/2026, 5:11:39 AM1 trades$4,2560 min
5/14/2026, 3:57:42 AM2 trades$4,1360 min
5/12/2026, 3:54:33 PM2 trades$4,1120 min
5/3/2026, 10:05:44 PM2 trades$4,0960 min
5/17/2026, 3:52:11 AM2 trades$2,1581 min
4/5/2026, 8:32:53 AM2 trades$2,0820 min
4/27/2026, 4:14:10 AM1 trades$2,0820 min
4/1/2026, 7:38:37 PM2 trades$2,0800 min
3/20/2026, 6:33:15 PM1 trades$2,0680 min
3/14/2026, 3:04:55 AM1 trades$2,0590 min
3/12/2026, 6:17:23 PM1 trades$2,0570 min
3/6/2026, 8:12:17 PM1 trades$2,0550 min
2/2/2026, 10:53:14 PM1 trades$2,0170 min
4/30/2026, 3:02:54 PM2 trades$2,0020 min
1/29/2026, 12:03:02 PM1 trades$1,9960 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
03-06
03-20
04-30
05-14
05-27
07-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100