@forrestkim42
#3,016,330240xb2cfe335526920672618e952172175dd54c8cd1f
~24d· 844 markets · 10987 tradesVol: $437,1032026-08-04 15:07:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (427/844)10.3/20
0.73x (win $7,207 / loss $9,890)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6170/15
Sortino -5.5480/10
$-0.0679 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 101 (844 markets)10/10
10/23 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 500% of peak ($3,355 / $672)0/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 13.0 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
2₿ CRYPTO#1,649,372$-2,088Vol: $230,511
🎭 CULTURE#808,590$-569Vol: $206,592
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,657
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$437,103
Total Redeem
$15,695
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
844
total markets
Trades
4776B / 6211S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d
Periods
#2Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,657
Vol: $437,103
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
427W / 417L events
Realized PnL
$-2,657
Win Rate
51%
427W / 417L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-24
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $560 (0.2107842583705042% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$206
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$185
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$169
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$162
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$135
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$127
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$124
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?$119
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$114
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$114
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-1,066
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-683
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$-389
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$-308
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$-217
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$-215
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$-203
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$-194
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-185
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$-175
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.287
Sortino
-0.252
HHI
82
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
9.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
23.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
152.9
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency1.8 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.02
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.6%
High (>55c)52.5%
Sessions
#126/4/2026, 6:41:39 PM2337 trades$16,970107 min
6/4/2026, 5:43:09 PM1155 trades$8,20349 min
6/4/2026, 9:00:07 AM673 trades$5,03955 min
6/5/2026, 1:50:55 PM398 trades$3,05812 min
6/5/2026, 12:55:43 PM409 trades$3,02813 min
6/5/2026, 2:25:04 PM281 trades$2,0309 min
6/5/2026, 11:40:24 AM278 trades$1,96313 min
6/5/2026, 3:10:04 PM216 trades$1,4075 min
7/15/2026, 1:28:20 PM40 trades$1,3562 min
7/10/2026, 3:32:37 PM120 trades$1,21640 min
7/15/2026, 10:50:19 AM49 trades$1,18127 min
7/10/2026, 7:14:46 AM79 trades$1,10326 min
7/15/2026, 3:51:47 PM37 trades$7962 min
7/7/2026, 1:48:56 PM21 trades$7121 min
6/4/2026, 3:36:34 PM25 trades$7008 min
7/15/2026, 12:20:11 PM49 trades$6944 min
6/3/2026, 9:15:54 PM97 trades$69035 min
6/4/2026, 8:43:07 AM78 trades$6206 min
6/4/2026, 3:29:21 PM28 trades$4991 min
6/3/2026, 9:56:15 PM71 trades$47814 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
03-28
03-31
05-28
06-05
07-08
07-11
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 107 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.9 / M30.6 / H52.5