@forsure1

#3,056,03113

0x7e47cd6944848607933a85b715bea2d18ff2b3d0

~30d· 169 markets · 935 tradesVol: $365,6832026-08-05 01:48:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (29/169)0/20
0.89x (win $18,856 / loss $21,193)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3150/15
Sortino -1.7610/10
$-0.0925 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 290 (169 markets)10/10
11/28 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 162% of peak ($6,099 / $3,761)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,876,321$-8,510Vol: $365,683

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,510
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$365,683
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
169
total markets
Trades
314B / 621S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
28W / 141L events
Realized PnL
$-8,510
Win Rate
17%
28W / 141L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$650
Avg Loss
$-163

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,157 (0.6059797392970916% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$2,016
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$1,643
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$1,498
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$1,200
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$1,167
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$1,081
Spread: Japan (-1.5)$938
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$902
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?$809
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$703

Top Losers

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-1,400
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-1,210
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$-1,146
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-970
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)$-800
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-800
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$-676
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$-650
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?$-460
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-450

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.068
Sortino
-0.103
HHI
1711
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
38.5%
Top-5 markets
60%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.2
Active
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
53s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 53s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity30 trades/day — high frequency5.5 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.4
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.4%
High (>55c)10.8%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 12:43:29 PM33 trades$7,5994 min
6/30/2026, 7:06:52 PM11 trades$7,2670 min
6/22/2026, 2:05:04 PM40 trades$6,3276 min
6/22/2026, 8:18:37 AM14 trades$6,2451 min
6/27/2026, 6:49:17 PM25 trades$5,0214 min
6/20/2026, 8:00:50 AM44 trades$4,5453 min
6/23/2026, 6:28:44 PM27 trades$4,2324 min
6/20/2026, 2:06:08 PM33 trades$3,2816 min
6/24/2026, 2:08:14 PM32 trades$2,93613 min
6/22/2026, 10:19:47 AM19 trades$2,8948 min
7/5/2026, 6:34:16 AM20 trades$2,7767 min
6/29/2026, 7:15:40 AM32 trades$2,7081 min
6/24/2026, 5:59:35 PM26 trades$2,6053 min
7/4/2026, 7:31:19 PM19 trades$2,4773 min
6/26/2026, 11:32:01 AM26 trades$2,2214 min
6/14/2026, 8:30:12 PM36 trades$2,1943 min
7/5/2026, 10:03:23 PM10 trades$1,9321 min
7/4/2026, 7:55:34 PM13 trades$1,8963 min
6/25/2026, 10:05:25 PM6 trades$1,8622 min
7/2/2026, 9:41:40 AM8 trades$1,7110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-15
06-19
06-23
06-27
07-01
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.7 / M26.4 / H10.8