@fractaldu

#66,61485

0xb1929cf214ce68a197a9dedbffa3e54b038914dd

~122d· 958 markets · 4599 tradesVol: $875,9072026-08-04 16:03:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (856/958)20/20
2.68x (win $814 / loss $304)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.42215/15
Sortino 3.69610/10
$+0.0015 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 29 (958 markets)10/10
108/118 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($243 / $511)4.5/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+1,416
Whale
$344,343 invested
Consistent
108/118 profitable days
High Roller
$1,632/day
Win Streak
55 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#1,261$1,403Vol: $872,791
🏛️ POLITICS#139,072$18Vol: $2,979
CRYPTO#1,028,356$-5Vol: $92
💰 FINANCE#198,270$0Vol: $35
📈 ECONOMICS#230,849$0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,416
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$875,907
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
958
total markets
Trades
2552B / 2047S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~122d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $4,248
Week
$26
Vol: $22,650
Month
$59
Vol: $32,791
All Time
$1,416
Vol: $875,907

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
856W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$1,416
Win Rate
89%
856W / 102L
Profit Factor
2.68x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45 (0.03186665724980578% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?$21
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?$13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 6?$11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 14?$11
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 13?$10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 30?$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on May 12?$9
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 9?$9
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?$9
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$8

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on March 21?$-250
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?$-45

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.178
Sortino
0.051
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
4.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.3m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 345s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency4.5 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.8
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.3%
High (>55c)99.6%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 4:25:24 PM29 trades$5,3880 min
5/13/2026, 6:55:33 PM11 trades$5,2688 min
6/30/2026, 6:00:35 AM17 trades$4,52310 min
6/20/2026, 6:06:19 PM6 trades$4,1800 min
6/21/2026, 6:34:58 AM7 trades$4,0592 min
6/21/2026, 6:50:20 AM5 trades$3,3820 min
5/7/2026, 5:53:22 PM41 trades$3,27422 min
6/16/2026, 7:41:33 AM4 trades$2,9991 min
6/17/2026, 6:04:38 PM20 trades$2,9885 min
6/19/2026, 8:08:23 AM53 trades$2,92910 min
6/19/2026, 7:36:25 AM24 trades$2,87910 min
7/9/2026, 5:50:59 PM17 trades$2,8525 min
6/9/2026, 12:49:48 PM18 trades$2,7948 min
5/12/2026, 10:38:49 AM23 trades$2,7339 min
6/21/2026, 4:47:56 PM17 trades$2,7269 min
6/9/2026, 7:56:18 PM8 trades$2,7140 min
5/12/2026, 1:06:59 PM6 trades$2,4777 min
5/2/2026, 3:00:46 PM13 trades$2,4093 min
6/20/2026, 6:54:10 AM2 trades$2,3790 min
6/30/2026, 5:48:59 AM13 trades$2,3795 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
03-08
04-04
05-11
06-13
07-08
07-31
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.1 / M0.3 / H99.6