@fredfredfredfredman

#2,887,10633

0x67a80d0db84243216a10e6febab2e97df5d47493

~23d· 116 markets · 717 tradesVol: $24,0872026-08-04 15:05:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (19/35)12.1/20
0.96x (win $469 / loss $489)2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1542.9/15
Sortino 0.2052.1/10
$-0.0040 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 681 (35 markets)9.1/10
9/19 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($158 / $135)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,578,420$-289Vol: $11,403
🌤️ WEATHER#279,667$-65Vol: $3,355
📈 ECONOMICS#651,733$-60Vol: $2,569
🎭 CULTURE#769,685$-62Vol: $1,666
💰 FINANCE#621,042$-55Vol: $1,290
💻 TECH#242,759$-43Vol: $1,203
⚽ SPORTS#1,436,098$-17Vol: $653
₿ CRYPTO#1,230,844$-17Vol: $401
📢 MENTIONS#88,029$-1Vol: $257

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-689
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,087
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
435B / 282S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-71
Vol: $899
Week
$-138
Vol: $3,736
Month
$-249
Vol: $4,649
All Time
$-689
Vol: $24,087

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
19W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-689
Win Rate
54%
19W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $272 (0.3944884862212155% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$124
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$85
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$63
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?$41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?$31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 23?$18
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$17
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$15
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$15
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 23?$15

Top Losers

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$-158
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-101
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$-70
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?$-38
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$-23
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 23?$-20
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$-15
Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$-13
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.008
Sortino
0.009
HHI
52
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
13.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 841s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency4.8 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.7%
Mid (20-55c)27.1%
High (>55c)67.1%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 5:02:46 PM8 trades$2584 min
7/16/2026, 11:56:43 AM6 trades$1588 min
7/13/2026, 1:06:35 PM7 trades$1380 min
7/14/2026, 9:24:46 PM5 trades$1280 min
8/2/2026, 12:54:15 PM10 trades$1233 min
7/16/2026, 5:47:59 AM3 trades$1063 min
7/17/2026, 2:06:33 AM3 trades$1020 min
7/16/2026, 1:38:59 PM6 trades$954 min
7/20/2026, 9:37:57 AM3 trades$942 min
7/31/2026, 6:54:05 PM8 trades$903 min
7/31/2026, 7:10:15 PM16 trades$901 min
7/22/2026, 1:22:09 PM3 trades$795 min
7/21/2026, 6:25:16 PM4 trades$780 min
7/13/2026, 9:04:44 AM2 trades$751 min
7/16/2026, 5:59:26 PM4 trades$743 min
7/14/2026, 10:20:19 PM4 trades$745 min
7/16/2026, 2:34:10 PM6 trades$733 min
7/18/2026, 2:52:18 AM6 trades$712 min
8/3/2026, 8:40:35 AM7 trades$704 min
8/3/2026, 7:31:54 PM6 trades$703 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-15 03:59:00
2026-07-19 23:59:00
2026-07-22 23:59:00
2026-07-26 12:00:00
2026-07-31 00:00:00
2026-08-31 23:59:00
2026-12-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.7 / M27.1 / H67.1