@fredparkin

#2,773,92240

0x788f8b6e1c0cd6df2a31643984de9f75df0d6eca

~31d· 143 markets · 2969 tradesVol: $169,7292026-08-04 21:50:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (128/139)20/20
0.51x (win $1,959 / loss $3,838)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2140/15
Sortino -3.2230/10
$-0.0152 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 260 (139 markets)10/10
19/24 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 287% of peak ($2,918 / $1,018)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 92%
DCA Master
Avg 21.2 entries/market
Whale
$123,510 invested
Consistent
19/24 profitable days
High Roller
$1,669/day
Win Streak
29 wins in a row

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#292,636$-266Vol: $165,747
₿ CRYPTO#1,270,449$-21Vol: $2,049
🏛️ POLITICS#788,680$-0Vol: $1,166
📈 ECONOMICS#515,059$-2Vol: $250
⚽ SPORTS#375,353$3Vol: $100
💰 FINANCE#379,145$-0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-289
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$169,729
Total Redeem
$39
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
143
total markets
Trades
1505B / 1464S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-289
Vol: $169,729

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
128W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-289
Win Rate
92%
128W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-480

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $485 (1.6743358551836112% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?$257
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?$117
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?$111
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 1?$92
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?$77
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 2?$73
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 29?$63
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?$60
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 28?$58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?$57

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?$-1,833
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?$-1,746
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-234
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 11?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.165
Sortino
-0.093
HHI
189
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.6m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 3.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity40 trades/day — high frequency1.9 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.22
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)0.3%
High (>55c)98.8%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 10:10:06 AM4 trades$7,1170 min
5/12/2026, 7:58:59 AM9 trades$7,0489 min
4/27/2026, 4:56:44 AM19 trades$6,4560 min
4/27/2026, 9:33:12 AM1 trades$5,8410 min
5/2/2026, 5:11:52 AM165 trades$4,98320 min
4/25/2026, 5:40:28 AM90 trades$3,98516 min
4/28/2026, 5:35:22 AM29 trades$3,5574 min
4/26/2026, 6:48:04 AM45 trades$3,52825 min
5/4/2026, 5:33:54 AM103 trades$3,2605 min
4/29/2026, 5:04:18 AM51 trades$3,1108 min
5/4/2026, 11:21:14 AM7 trades$3,0710 min
4/28/2026, 5:11:22 AM63 trades$2,6995 min
4/26/2026, 8:57:50 AM102 trades$2,6564 min
4/28/2026, 8:02:18 AM1 trades$2,6020 min
4/24/2026, 6:49:56 AM80 trades$2,5164 min
4/26/2026, 11:05:32 AM23 trades$2,2904 min
4/29/2026, 7:10:08 AM4 trades$2,2706 min
4/25/2026, 6:32:44 AM136 trades$2,05421 min
4/26/2026, 12:35:54 PM12 trades$2,02314 min
5/7/2026, 6:34:45 PM2 trades$1,9985 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
04-27
05-01
05-05
05-10
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 53 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.9 / M0.3 / H98.8