@freedaaron
#160,789560x8f70de9feb71b7835c096a95aa9d258ac2a000e9
~32d· 41 markets · 111 tradesVol: $19,4752026-08-05 15:50:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
37% (15/41)3.3/20
1.51x (win $769 / loss $510)8.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.75915/15
Sortino 7.05810/10
$+0.1571 per $1 invested7.9/10
HHI 1027 (41 markets)7.4/10
7/21 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 57% of peak ($297 / $519)2.6/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+241
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#37,236$282Vol: $15,347
⚽ SPORTS#1,390,211$-13Vol: $1,568
🌤️ WEATHER#281,192$-72Vol: $1,176
📈 ECONOMICS#31,468$17Vol: $941
🎭 CULTURE#43,039$27Vol: $443
Overview
#1Net PnL
$241
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,475
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
56B / 55S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
37%
15W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$241
Win Rate
37%
15W / 26L
Profit Factor
1.51x
Avg Win
$51
Avg Loss
$-20
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $553 (2.294303271881747% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$292
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$147
Will Biden drop out by Monday?$113
DNC open convention?$49
Biden not drop out by July 26?$47
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$43
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$23
US recession in 2025?$17
Biden nominated before Democratic convention?$9
Will "John Lithgow" win Best Leading Actor in a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$7
Top Losers
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 20?$-69
Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-50
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 63-64°F on May 6?$-45
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-40
ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?$-31
Biden drops out by July 12?$-28
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$-25
Will Trump visit Israel in May?$-25
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$-20
Biden drops out of presidential race?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.141
Sortino
0.447
HHI
727
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.157
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.3%
Top-5 markets
49.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 498s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.71
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)44.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.7%
High (>55c)19.6%
Sessions
#124/9/2025, 5:41:45 PM1 trades$2280 min
4/3/2025, 3:54:32 AM1 trades$1970 min
7/22/2024, 5:32:08 PM3 trades$1512 min
7/3/2024, 5:41:47 PM1 trades$1130 min
7/4/2024, 8:03:10 PM2 trades$1130 min
7/19/2024, 1:32:32 AM2 trades$1101 min
7/18/2024, 2:55:44 PM3 trades$1072 min
7/7/2024, 8:48:42 PM1 trades$1030 min
8/5/2024, 5:33:03 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/21/2024, 6:35:09 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/21/2024, 6:56:46 PM1 trades$990 min
6/7/2026, 5:15:12 PM9 trades$963 min
9/18/2025, 12:30:54 AM2 trades$870 min
7/23/2024, 9:33:57 PM3 trades$811 min
7/2/2024, 10:39:22 PM1 trades$790 min
7/19/2024, 5:02:41 PM3 trades$674 min
7/18/2024, 10:15:10 PM1 trades$660 min
7/8/2024, 1:23:19 AM2 trades$551 min
7/18/2024, 2:48:20 PM2 trades$501 min
7/21/2024, 10:10:22 PM1 trades$500 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-08
07-21
08-05
11-05
05-06
05-20
09-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 409 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
9.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.6 / M35.7 / H19.6