@fryekatie

#1,916,49521

0x16cbc917654cbb9437fc0894a628a1d20025ed72

~28d· 27 markets · 48 tradesVol: $28,3882026-08-05 00:12:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (15/27)12.8/20
0.12x (win $2 / loss $14)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8420/15
Sortino -4.7050/10
$-0.0012 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8995 (27 markets)0/10
15/24 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($14 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Consistent
15/24 profitable days

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,401,168$-14Vol: $27,767
₿ CRYPTO#392,698$1Vol: $456
📈 ECONOMICS#346,011$-0Vol: $60
🏛️ POLITICS#735,702$-0Vol: $45
💰 FINANCE#224,532$0Vol: $39
💻 TECH#93,877$0Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,388
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
27B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-13
Vol: $28,388

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
15W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
56%
15W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.08657664813343924% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31?$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?$0
Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?$0
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?$0
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$0
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025?$0
Will XRP reach $2.8 in June?$0
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in July?$0

Top Losers

Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$-9
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-4
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-0
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?$-0
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$-0
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-0
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?$-0
Fulham wins the Premier League?$-0
Will Mason Graham be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.248
Sortino
-0.152
HHI
8614
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
38.2%
Half-Kelly
19.1%
Top-1 market
92.8%
Top-5 markets
96.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.8h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3730s — normal for humanCV 4.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.78
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)3.7%
High (>55c)92.6%

Sessions

#12
2/25/2025, 10:47:05 AM1 trades$9,3740 min
2/25/2025, 11:03:13 AM1 trades$9,3640 min
5/24/2026, 7:26:17 AM2 trades$2010 min
6/26/2026, 1:16:42 PM8 trades$1000 min
7/28/2026, 7:13:54 AM2 trades$910 min
1/7/2025, 4:55:41 AM2 trades$744 min
7/29/2025, 12:08:23 PM1 trades$270 min
4/16/2025, 4:25:29 PM1 trades$270 min
4/16/2025, 4:40:46 PM1 trades$270 min
4/23/2025, 4:08:30 AM1 trades$250 min
4/23/2025, 4:19:30 AM1 trades$250 min
8/30/2025, 9:11:07 PM1 trades$250 min
1/12/2025, 1:44:17 PM1 trades$230 min
1/14/2025, 2:44:19 AM1 trades$230 min
3/24/2025, 7:29:25 AM1 trades$230 min
2/28/2025, 5:52:30 AM1 trades$220 min
4/25/2025, 10:25:10 AM1 trades$220 min
10/27/2025, 1:01:37 PM1 trades$210 min
9/28/2025, 4:33:49 PM1 trades$210 min
1/18/2025, 2:36:59 PM1 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
01-27
02-28
04-25
07-29
12-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.7 / M3.7 / H92.6