futureman.

@futureman.

#2,932,64360

0xd50bffc6bd4697b2e3c1935be13748992466d882

~14d· 17 markets · 92 tradesVol: $26,3972026-08-05 01:10:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (4/15)0/20
3.18x (win $1,611 / loss $506)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.44515/15
Sortino 22.53610/10
$+0.1758 per $1 invested8.8/10
HHI 2832 (15 markets)0/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($267 / $1,372)10/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 19%

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,827,475$-1,004Vol: $13,873
🌤️ WEATHER#292,930$-281Vol: $7,562
🏛️ POLITICS#40,514$239Vol: $4,962

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,045
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,397
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
36B / 56S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
4W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-1,045
Win Rate
27%
4W / 11L
Profit Factor
3.18x
Avg Win
$403
Avg Loss
$-63

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,584 (1.5162466621364243% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,015
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$431
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Madrid CF?$138
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$26

Top Losers

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$-245
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?$-193
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?$-20
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?$-14
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?$-12
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?$-10
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid CF?$-10
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.318
Sortino
1.006
HHI
10340
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.099
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
77.2%
Top-5 markets
171.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 1.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.93
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.1%
Mid (20-55c)2.8%
High (>55c)36.1%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 9:04:43 AM7 trades$3,5562 min
6/11/2026, 9:32:51 AM5 trades$2,1431 min
5/8/2026, 7:06:38 PM2 trades$1,9610 min
5/9/2026, 8:15:34 AM5 trades$1,7560 min
5/13/2026, 3:15:57 PM4 trades$1,7370 min
6/26/2026, 8:08:04 AM6 trades$1,6381 min
5/8/2026, 7:25:46 PM4 trades$1,4681 min
5/12/2026, 8:46:10 PM11 trades$9700 min
6/22/2026, 11:16:59 AM2 trades$6480 min
5/30/2026, 8:18:38 AM6 trades$5062 min
5/10/2026, 6:53:06 PM13 trades$3973 min
6/17/2026, 2:20:47 PM2 trades$2270 min
6/26/2026, 8:23:50 AM2 trades$2180 min
5/10/2026, 9:09:12 PM4 trades$2160 min
5/30/2026, 8:27:50 AM7 trades$1493 min
7/18/2026, 8:30:42 PM2 trades$1430 min
5/11/2026, 8:57:06 AM6 trades$1140 min
6/25/2026, 8:21:22 AM2 trades$50 min
7/1/2026, 4:21:11 PM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-10
05-11
05-12
05-13
05-30
06-17
06-26
07-01
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 66 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.93/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.1 / M2.8 / H36.1