@g3lli

#2,809,90012

0xd7cf0d5f5d8fc21482bbcafd95da0713650165d5

~17d· 39 markets · 133 tradesVol: $12,8442026-08-04 15:18:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (11/39)0/20
0.90x (win $431 / loss $478)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2210/15
Sortino -1.8270/10
$-0.0721 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 318 (39 markets)10/10
5/16 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 449% of peak ($149 / $33)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
100% entries < $0.55
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#294,126$-367Vol: $12,832
SPORTS#1,059,841$-2Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-369
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,844
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
103B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
11W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-369
Win Rate
28%
11W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $187 (0.5075897213488019% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?$73
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?$57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?$57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?$54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?$49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?$49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?$37
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?$30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?$11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 10?$10

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 6?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 27?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 6?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.062
Sortino
-0.120
HHI
294
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.072
Kelly %
0.4%
Half-Kelly
0.2%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
15.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.8%
Mid (20-55c)93.2%
High (>55c)0%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 6:18:27 PM9 trades$635 min
5/28/2026, 12:54:36 AM5 trades$530 min
5/27/2026, 7:58:13 PM5 trades$410 min
6/7/2026, 5:18:54 AM7 trades$350 min
6/10/2026, 3:48:12 AM7 trades$3311 min
6/10/2026, 4:56:43 AM6 trades$291 min
6/9/2026, 5:04:21 PM9 trades$2211 min
6/6/2026, 6:20:54 PM2 trades$201 min
6/7/2026, 2:46:13 AM2 trades$203 min
6/7/2026, 5:27:04 AM2 trades$202 min
6/7/2026, 5:56:33 AM3 trades$202 min
6/7/2026, 6:42:42 PM1 trades$200 min
6/7/2026, 8:11:49 PM1 trades$200 min
6/8/2026, 4:57:30 AM3 trades$200 min
6/10/2026, 6:46:04 AM1 trades$200 min
6/10/2026, 1:43:01 PM1 trades$200 min
6/12/2026, 9:37:03 AM2 trades$201 min
6/13/2026, 12:26:24 AM1 trades$200 min
6/13/2026, 4:46:52 AM5 trades$202 min
6/17/2026, 3:14:43 AM4 trades$202 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-17
05-28
06-07
06-09
06-11
06-13
06-17
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
94.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.41/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L6.8 / M93.2 / H0