gaigestein

@gaigestein

#418,54535

0x2de96659116bca2ee8aeff5286cbc25807e136cf

~27d· 29 markets · 63 tradesVol: $16,9222026-08-04 18:12:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (4/23)0/20
1.39x (win $237 / loss $171)7.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.22315/15
Sortino 1.79910/10
$+0.0054 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 2027 (23 markets)2.4/10
4/21 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 152% of peak ($152 / $100)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,211,150$-7Vol: $14,813
SPORTS#203,239$29Vol: $948
🎭 CULTURE#365,853$-0Vol: $10
CRYPTO#670,062$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,922
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
36B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$20
Vol: $16,922

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
4W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$20
Win Rate
17%
4W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $237 (12.00304414003044% of PnL)

Top Winners

Vikings vs. Rams$132
Notre Dame vs. Penn State$100
Marlins vs. Brewers$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$0

Top Losers

Chargers vs. Texans$-152
Rangers vs. Blue Jays$-9
Pirates vs. Brewers$-6
Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$-2
Will Marija Selak Raspudić be the next President of Croatia?$-1
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$-0
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$-0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.078
HHI
3
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.150
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
3.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 17635s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.9%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)58.3%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 2:41:39 PM4 trades$1,9922 min
7/30/2026, 10:06:17 AM4 trades$1,9653 min
7/30/2026, 5:56:26 PM4 trades$1,9553 min
7/30/2026, 8:39:21 PM4 trades$1,9274 min
7/28/2026, 4:16:31 PM2 trades$9960 min
7/29/2026, 9:41:38 PM2 trades$9960 min
7/29/2026, 9:48:44 PM2 trades$9860 min
7/31/2026, 4:02:42 PM2 trades$9510 min
1/10/2025, 9:09:01 AM1 trades$1520 min
1/9/2025, 12:02:21 AM1 trades$1130 min
1/13/2025, 5:35:47 AM2 trades$1051 min
8/15/2025, 12:58:04 PM1 trades$90 min
6/25/2025, 11:44:11 AM1 trades$60 min
5/13/2025, 6:36:20 AM1 trades$60 min
5/13/2025, 9:33:32 AM1 trades$60 min
5/5/2025, 7:06:28 AM1 trades$50 min
5/5/2025, 12:50:55 PM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2025, 7:58:06 AM1 trades$50 min
4/16/2025, 12:26:05 PM1 trades$50 min
5/8/2025, 7:25:59 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
03-06
04-08
04-23
05-02
05-08
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.9 / M27.8 / H58.3