@gamblinopportunities
#3,002,543180xcff7b5922b9eb13fbdf2a1ff6f2541c095c62fb1
~23d· 161 markets · 771 tradesVol: $1,388,0722026-08-04 18:10:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (68/159)6.4/20
0.60x (win $1,419 / loss $2,384)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0410/15
Sortino -6.7170/10
$-0.1221 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 363 (159 markets)10/10
7/20 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,001 / $0)0/10
Badges
4Diamond Hands
8% sells
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders
Categories
5🌤️ WEATHER#297,528$-981Vol: $36,607
💰 FINANCE#650,050$-505Vol: $7,125
📈 ECONOMICS#651,195$-59Vol: $2,571
🏛️ POLITICS#1,430,203$-34Vol: $903
⚽ SPORTS#1,519,794$-30Vol: $365
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,173
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,388,072
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
161
total markets
Trades
710B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
68W / 91L events
Realized PnL
$-2,173
Win Rate
43%
68W / 91L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-27
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $451 (0.20756757751911223% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?$198
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 20?$142
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?$111
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?$107
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?$65
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?$57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?$40
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 18?$36
Will Delta Q2 passenger load factor be between 85% and 87%?$34
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 20?$34
Top Losers
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$-269
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?$-218
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$-183
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-160
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?$-156
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?$-132
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?$-83
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?$-75
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 4?$-73
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 20?$-73
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.308
Sortino
-0.387
HHI
374
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
36.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
26.6
Active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.8m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 667s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency5.6 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.99
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.5%
Mid (20-55c)32.7%
High (>55c)64.8%
Sessions
#126/23/2026, 3:43:14 PM2 trades$2751 min
6/24/2026, 11:47:38 PM7 trades$2307 min
6/17/2026, 2:31:43 PM5 trades$1988 min
6/21/2026, 12:09:02 AM17 trades$1963 min
6/18/2026, 2:25:08 PM4 trades$19610 min
6/17/2026, 12:01:53 AM4 trades$1721 min
6/23/2026, 4:36:56 PM2 trades$1493 min
6/17/2026, 1:04:23 PM3 trades$1408 min
6/17/2026, 1:03:44 AM4 trades$1300 min
6/21/2026, 11:09:44 PM4 trades$1126 min
6/17/2026, 11:29:25 PM4 trades$1106 min
6/24/2026, 3:20:43 PM3 trades$1106 min
6/16/2026, 8:12:52 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/17/2026, 12:30:58 AM1 trades$1000 min
6/15/2026, 10:33:45 AM1 trades$1000 min
6/15/2026, 1:58:57 AM1 trades$1000 min
6/18/2026, 4:18:01 PM1 trades$1000 min
6/18/2026, 1:25:26 AM1 trades$990 min
6/21/2026, 10:00:41 PM1 trades$990 min
6/18/2026, 4:10:35 PM1 trades$990 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-18
06-21
06-24
07-03
07-06
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
78% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.5 / M32.7 / H64.8