@gctrader

#2,740,01453

0x0712410db8d726269abce3e40f58366a260ac38a

~18d· 21 markets · 129 tradesVol: $8,2442026-08-04 18:38:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (6/16)3.8/20
1.52x (win $1,116 / loss $735)9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.94015/15
Sortino 5.85610/10
$+0.1066 per $1 invested5.3/10
HHI 1274 (16 markets)6.1/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($431 / $812)3.4/10

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,575,771$-269Vol: $7,051
📈 ECONOMICS#22,379$33Vol: $1,193

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-236
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,244
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
38B / 91S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-12
Vol: $0
All Time
$-236
Vol: $8,244

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
6W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-236
Win Rate
38%
6W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.52x
Avg Win
$186
Avg Loss
$-105

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,036 (4.389616444161899% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$696
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$266
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?$74
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$66
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$14

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-420
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?$-117
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-66
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-54
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?$-25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.145
Sortino
0.251
HHI
1591
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.105
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.6%
Top-5 markets
77.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.19
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.8%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)73.7%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 3:18:46 PM12 trades$1,1500 min
6/15/2026, 11:34:48 AM19 trades$9501 min
5/23/2026, 11:28:53 PM6 trades$7020 min
5/20/2026, 12:57:00 PM4 trades$6001 min
6/17/2026, 12:57:11 PM7 trades$5091 min
6/10/2026, 12:42:33 PM4 trades$4840 min
6/14/2026, 3:28:30 AM7 trades$4310 min
7/10/2026, 12:53:59 PM4 trades$4001 min
5/15/2026, 12:53:09 PM11 trades$3682 min
5/20/2026, 11:28:06 AM8 trades$3623 min
6/19/2026, 12:48:50 PM8 trades$2850 min
6/10/2026, 12:11:22 AM4 trades$2042 min
5/8/2026, 1:25:29 PM7 trades$1923 min
6/29/2026, 1:31:16 PM2 trades$1110 min
7/5/2026, 2:12:58 AM2 trades$1110 min
5/20/2026, 6:27:52 PM4 trades$1100 min
5/18/2026, 11:00:18 AM2 trades$560 min
7/22/2026, 2:02:36 PM5 trades$391 min
4/22/2026, 12:47:22 PM4 trades$231 min
5/1/2026, 12:22:24 AM1 trades$80 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
05-18
05-20
05-23
06-14
06-15
06-17
06-19
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.8 / M10.5 / H73.7