@ghostviolet

#2,824,51921

0x3da617e9f3778d86ad172d22dbc93409c2969ac4

~78d· 339 markets · 4825 tradesVol: $212,7292026-08-04 22:47:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (146/332)7/20
0.87x (win $21,132 / loss $24,160)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1110/15
Sortino -1.2650/10
$-0.0337 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 162 (332 markets)10/10
28/67 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 2121% of peak ($7,282 / $343)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$89,871 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,769,278$-306Vol: $110,832
💰 FINANCE#637,481$-135Vol: $47,255
🏛️ POLITICS#1,468,184$-51Vol: $34,307
📈 ECONOMICS#3,923$669Vol: $7,980
💻 TECH#185,157$-1Vol: $398

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-411
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$212,729
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
339
total markets
Trades
2092B / 2733S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $1,179
Week
$-3
Vol: $1,179
Month
$-3
Vol: $1,179
All Time
$-411
Vol: $212,729

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
146W / 186L events
Realized PnL
$-411
Win Rate
44%
146W / 186L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$145
Avg Loss
$-152

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,689 (11.410034307404073% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1,951
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1,537
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,201
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$843
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$834
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$682
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$638
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?$546
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?$544
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$424

Top Losers

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-6,564
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-1,467
Spurs vs. Knicks$-1,302
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,072
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-910
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-809
Portugal leading at halftime?$-441
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?$-399
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs$-395
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$-335

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.058
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
318
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
31.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.5m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 627s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock54 trades/day — mass trading3.8 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.3%
Mid (20-55c)16%
High (>55c)66.7%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 7:54:18 PM39 trades$2,52045 min
5/25/2026, 2:30:29 PM32 trades$1,92037 min
5/7/2026, 4:22:25 PM31 trades$1,55812 min
7/19/2026, 8:25:15 PM20 trades$1,41622 min
6/3/2026, 1:49:54 PM25 trades$1,18533 min
7/2/2026, 1:16:43 PM12 trades$1,05414 min
6/14/2026, 9:09:22 PM22 trades$1,02619 min
6/3/2026, 8:49:53 AM18 trades$1,02522 min
5/30/2026, 5:31:23 PM22 trades$91216 min
6/30/2026, 6:49:43 AM15 trades$88017 min
7/17/2026, 12:17:07 PM19 trades$83919 min
5/14/2026, 3:01:44 AM17 trades$79115 min
7/16/2026, 5:54:02 PM8 trades$7614 min
6/17/2026, 1:19:26 AM16 trades$74324 min
6/16/2026, 7:35:37 PM8 trades$7259 min
6/17/2026, 3:40:31 AM18 trades$72519 min
6/10/2026, 12:54:00 AM21 trades$69112 min
6/9/2026, 4:10:36 AM10 trades$6677 min
7/24/2026, 2:35:57 PM12 trades$65615 min
5/31/2026, 11:08:48 PM14 trades$64717 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-08
05-19
05-30
06-12
06-23
07-04
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.3 / M16 / H66.7