@gmullen

#1,986,62013

0x4b20c0bd73810c30fb67d1fb3278e8fba060c2bf

~36d· 71 markets · 138 tradesVol: $23,5482026-08-04 21:00:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (26/68)4.1/20
0.16x (win $1 / loss $6)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4150/15
Sortino -4.3150/10
$-0.0005 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2066 (68 markets)2.2/10
20/35 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 2421% of peak ($6 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,282,545$-10Vol: $15,524
⚽ SPORTS#1,190,809$-5Vol: $6,133
📈 ECONOMICS#459,612$-1Vol: $1,702
₿ CRYPTO#474,672$0Vol: $112
💻 TECH#175,279$-0Vol: $42
💰 FINANCE#278,995$0Vol: $31
🎭 CULTURE#333,214$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,548
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
84B / 54S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-16
Vol: $23,548

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
26W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-16
Win Rate
38%
26W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.03575989782886335% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lakers vs. Kings$0
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$0
Sharks vs. Oilers$0
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in November?$0
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?$0
Will XRP reach $2.40 in July?$0
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $55 in June?$0
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?$0
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?$0
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?$0

Top Losers

Hurricanes vs. Predators$-1
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$-1
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbilt$-1
Will 'Stardew Valley' win Labor of Love in the 2024 Steam Awards?$-0
Bucks vs. Bulls$-0
Avalanche vs. Sharks$-0
Blackhawks vs. Flames$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.228
Sortino
-0.105
HHI
215
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
17.8%
Half-Kelly
8.9%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
29.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 356s — normal for humanCV 3.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.94
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)21.4%
High (>55c)72.6%

Sessions

#12
10/29/2025, 3:06:13 PM1 trades$2,6510 min
10/29/2025, 3:34:15 PM1 trades$2,6480 min
10/29/2025, 2:19:39 PM1 trades$2,6040 min
10/29/2025, 2:39:21 PM1 trades$2,5990 min
10/29/2025, 4:01:53 PM1 trades$2,4600 min
10/29/2025, 4:23:39 PM1 trades$2,4580 min
3/9/2025, 2:55:53 AM1 trades$8620 min
3/9/2025, 3:16:01 AM1 trades$8610 min
3/9/2025, 7:23:15 AM1 trades$8490 min
3/9/2025, 7:58:59 AM1 trades$8480 min
3/9/2025, 5:58:29 AM1 trades$8330 min
3/9/2025, 6:34:27 AM1 trades$8320 min
3/9/2025, 4:25:23 AM1 trades$8250 min
3/9/2025, 5:09:03 AM1 trades$8240 min
12/24/2024, 5:26:58 PM2 trades$542 min
12/18/2024, 10:10:01 AM5 trades$4410 min
12/23/2024, 7:52:52 AM2 trades$410 min
12/23/2024, 4:13:16 AM4 trades$392 min
12/22/2024, 5:43:16 AM6 trades$367 min
12/18/2024, 5:53:48 AM2 trades$321 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
12-23
01-07
02-07
03-25
06-24
01-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 80 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M21.4 / H72.6