@goodar

#3,049,31316

0xca89a9026223e082ebada4dc82e003f80f50b94a

~127d· 188 markets · 1359 tradesVol: $249,2212026-08-04 20:09:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (60/175)2.1/20
0.80x (win $22,050 / loss $27,620)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9310/15
Sortino -1.0650/10
$-0.0637 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 443 (175 markets)10/10
33/75 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 666% of peak ($13,247 / $1,988)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
Whale
$87,444 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,525$-2,169Vol: $155,964
CRYPTO#1,665,110$-4,231Vol: $70,495
📈 ECONOMICS#5,672$373Vol: $8,134
💻 TECH#254,202$-267Vol: $6,315
💰 FINANCE#616,582$-46Vol: $4,932
🎭 CULTURE#68,693$10Vol: $3,112
🌤️ WEATHER#48,034$2Vol: $270

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,328
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$249,221
Total Redeem
$2,165
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
188
total markets
Trades
935B / 424S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~127d

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $0
Week
$-7
Vol: $0
Month
$23
Vol: $274
All Time
$-6,328
Vol: $249,221

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
60W / 114L events
Realized PnL
$-6,334
Win Rate
34%
60W / 114L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$368
Avg Loss
$-242

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,997 (1.420261301709386% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$5,183
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,598
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$1,216
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$823
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$816
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$807
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$806
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$793
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$745
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$732

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-4,400
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-4,134
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-2,803
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-1,699
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-1,329
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-1,227
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-765
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-700
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$-700
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$-690

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
487
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.7%
Top-5 markets
39.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 646s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.23
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.2%
Mid (20-55c)24%
High (>55c)49.8%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 7:53:15 PM24 trades$13,54320 min
4/10/2026, 11:19:23 AM26 trades$5,6442 min
4/21/2026, 2:10:44 PM22 trades$5,2713 min
3/20/2026, 9:17:01 PM2 trades$5,0001 min
4/9/2026, 2:36:39 PM6 trades$3,7470 min
5/30/2026, 3:11:00 PM7 trades$3,5910 min
3/20/2026, 11:55:07 AM3 trades$2,6955 min
4/25/2026, 6:03:16 PM5 trades$2,6732 min
4/30/2026, 8:05:36 AM11 trades$2,1932 min
4/8/2026, 6:23:13 PM47 trades$2,0948 min
4/5/2026, 5:06:09 PM14 trades$1,9080 min
3/18/2026, 2:37:53 PM2 trades$1,8533 min
4/8/2026, 5:58:37 PM2 trades$1,7860 min
4/8/2026, 8:14:55 PM27 trades$1,7749 min
5/3/2026, 8:28:40 PM15 trades$1,7548 min
4/3/2026, 4:26:33 PM8 trades$1,7020 min
3/18/2026, 6:58:03 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
4/20/2026, 9:03:54 AM11 trades$1,4921 min
4/22/2026, 8:48:48 PM7 trades$1,4000 min
3/20/2026, 11:43:01 AM2 trades$1,3803 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
03-11
03-30
04-21
05-10
06-06
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.2 / M24 / H49.8