@graisse-de-canard
#3,054,116180x2936f9f863ba7325e283173710c5bd7762f26c5f
~67d· 583 markets · 10506 tradesVol: $821,7002026-08-05 17:33:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (210/583)3/20
0.77x (win $107,307 / loss $140,015)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8410/15
Sortino -2.0740/10
$-0.0999 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 174 (583 markets)10/10
26/54 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 561% of peak ($48,392 / $8,629)0/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Whale
$327,254 invested
High Roller
$3,306/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4⚽ SPORTS#1,877,169$-9,091Vol: $599,600
🌤️ WEATHER#296,628$-681Vol: $175,245
📈 ECONOMICS#1,733$2,434Vol: $45,377
💰 FINANCE#35,607$26Vol: $1,479
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-7,311
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$821,700
Total Redeem
$3,271
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
583
total markets
Trades
3013B / 7493S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
210W / 373L events
Realized PnL
$-27,700
Win Rate
36%
210W / 373L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$511
Avg Loss
$-404
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28,439 (1.0266920243786386% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$15,655
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$6,521
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$6,263
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$5,789
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$5,560
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$4,278
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3,181
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$3,030
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$2,689
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$2,364
Top Losers
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-28,756
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-21,357
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-16,685
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-13,915
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$-5,577
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-4,276
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-3,526
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-3,270
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,655
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,425
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.095
Sortino
-0.084
HHI
395
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.079
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
33.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
106.1
Very active
Markets / Day
5.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.9m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
79.1
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 87s — normal for humanCV 2.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock106 trades/day — automation5.9 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
20.02
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)30.6%
Mid (20-55c)28.7%
High (>55c)40.7%
Sessions
#125/10/2026, 5:09:56 AM1450 trades$28,1871 min
5/10/2026, 2:05:29 AM73 trades$26,4800 min
7/19/2026, 9:43:01 PM119 trades$25,44318 min
6/20/2026, 8:15:38 PM132 trades$20,56834 min
7/29/2026, 7:20:57 PM2 trades$19,0000 min
6/22/2026, 6:41:53 PM72 trades$15,21117 min
6/29/2026, 11:17:58 PM105 trades$14,54611 min
5/10/2026, 2:15:47 AM58 trades$14,3380 min
6/26/2026, 7:00:28 PM51 trades$13,93215 min
6/25/2026, 7:57:05 PM91 trades$13,68914 min
6/21/2026, 7:23:20 PM39 trades$13,4680 min
5/9/2026, 12:57:10 PM76 trades$13,3530 min
5/7/2026, 11:43:50 PM19 trades$12,1590 min
6/22/2026, 5:06:10 PM73 trades$11,93217 min
6/17/2026, 5:51:02 PM48 trades$11,5725 min
6/26/2026, 7:20:32 PM129 trades$11,54523 min
6/21/2026, 6:57:28 PM35 trades$11,35717 min
6/22/2026, 9:10:11 PM41 trades$10,7855 min
7/1/2026, 3:51:41 PM62 trades$9,22522 min
6/17/2026, 6:05:46 PM40 trades$9,0175 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
05-01
05-10
06-16
06-25
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.6 / M28.7 / H40.7