@groppone
#87,716320x77500a1651826ef61b2dde9d666851f13179324d
~173d· 295 markets · 2446 tradesVol: $254,0452026-08-04 20:36:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (137/236)14/20
0.97x (win $2,507 / loss $2,593)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2120/15
Sortino -0.3420/10
$-0.0119 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 307 (236 markets)10/10
58/107 profitable days (54%)6.1/10
Max DD 107% of peak ($1,347 / $1,261)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+872
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.9 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#24,037$623Vol: $159,237
🎭 CULTURE#46,091$23Vol: $51,902
📈 ECONOMICS#8,292$199Vol: $19,354
🌤️ WEATHER#5,987$137Vol: $11,359
⚽ SPORTS#1,397,839$-14Vol: $6,561
💰 FINANCE#634,635$-110Vol: $5,038
💻 TECH#17,641$11Vol: $200
₿ CRYPTO#990,286$-3Vol: $180
Overview
#1Net PnL
$872
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$254,045
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
295
total markets
Trades
1889B / 557S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d
Periods
#2Today
$6
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $45
Month
$7
Vol: $45
All Time
$872
Vol: $254,045
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
137W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$872
Win Rate
58%
137W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-26
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $946 (1.0855186179365406% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$419
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$293
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$235
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$204
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$99
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$90
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$80
US bank failure by June 30?$65
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$49
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$35
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-340
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-270
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-178
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-162
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-148
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-75
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$-57
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-44
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$-44
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.011
Sortino
-0.015
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
11.8%
Half-Kelly
5.9%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
21%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 486s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.89
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)83.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)9.1%
Sessions
#126/29/2026, 8:57:50 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/21/2026, 3:11:49 PM5 trades$5390 min
7/22/2026, 7:07:39 PM4 trades$5004 min
7/20/2026, 3:55:42 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/3/2026, 12:17:50 PM6 trades$4152 min
4/3/2026, 1:13:19 PM2 trades$4000 min
1/19/2026, 10:19:20 AM11 trades$2231 min
7/20/2026, 4:01:34 PM2 trades$2000 min
5/23/2026, 9:18:53 AM13 trades$1000 min
2/20/2026, 1:52:46 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/2/2026, 6:51:35 AM7 trades$950 min
2/18/2026, 8:30:20 PM14 trades$949 min
3/23/2026, 2:43:19 PM2 trades$933 min
6/15/2026, 10:17:30 AM2 trades$900 min
5/23/2026, 9:05:01 PM3 trades$855 min
5/23/2026, 2:06:54 PM2 trades$844 min
3/19/2026, 3:44:37 PM1 trades$810 min
2/22/2026, 8:38:20 PM4 trades$812 min
2/20/2026, 1:26:52 PM19 trades$734 min
3/1/2026, 7:51:09 PM1 trades$700 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
01-28
02-19
03-11
04-10
05-24
07-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.89/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L83.2 / M7.7 / H9.1