@grouched
#87,182850x3c443fc04076f90229795c96d4c58ca016d3f66f
~78d· 109 markets · 1275 tradesVol: $45,8402026-08-04 18:13:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (38/68)12.9/20
2.33x (win $5,248 / loss $2,254)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.42415/15
Sortino 8.45410/10
$+0.3190 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 573 (68 markets)9.6/10
20/33 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($1,413 / $2,994)4.6/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+883
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.1 entries/market
Consistent
20/33 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#19,610$866Vol: $17,598
⚽ SPORTS#1,702,932$-126Vol: $15,453
₿ CRYPTO#51,457$338Vol: $6,294
💰 FINANCE#642,878$-214Vol: $4,372
📈 ECONOMICS#571,362$-5Vol: $1,309
🎭 CULTURE#625,646$-4Vol: $277
📢 MENTIONS#103,473$-3Vol: $11
Overview
#1Net PnL
$883
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,840
Total Redeem
$28
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
109
total markets
Trades
666B / 609S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d
Periods
#2Today
$71
Vol: $0
Week
$110
Vol: $296
Month
$163
Vol: $296
All Time
$883
Vol: $45,840
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
38W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$883
Win Rate
56%
38W / 30L
Profit Factor
2.33x
Avg Win
$138
Avg Loss
$-80
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,704 (3.0630713290515517% of PnL)
Top Winners
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,135
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$928
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$641
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$555
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$406
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$270
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$194
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$172
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$112
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$112
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-1,110
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-344
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-152
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-139
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic $-83
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$-66
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$-50
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$-42
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$-41
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.228
Sortino
0.299
HHI
371
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.392
Kelly %
7.3%
Half-Kelly
3.7%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
37.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 335s — normal for humanCV 1.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.06
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)30.9%
Mid (20-55c)36.2%
High (>55c)32.9%
Sessions
#125/22/2026, 1:41:13 AM5 trades$9132 min
6/4/2026, 5:34:45 AM10 trades$7952 min
5/16/2026, 12:08:20 AM11 trades$7614 min
5/29/2026, 8:22:42 AM7 trades$6582 min
5/8/2026, 4:00:54 AM14 trades$5678 min
4/18/2026, 2:26:52 AM9 trades$4650 min
5/20/2026, 8:16:06 PM2 trades$4040 min
7/27/2026, 5:13:00 PM4 trades$4000 min
6/17/2026, 4:29:43 PM13 trades$3831 min
6/1/2026, 7:38:59 PM13 trades$3784 min
4/5/2026, 12:26:07 AM2 trades$3700 min
5/16/2026, 12:19:23 AM8 trades$3314 min
4/2/2026, 9:55:39 PM3 trades$3000 min
5/30/2026, 12:54:03 AM10 trades$30010 min
7/29/2026, 6:11:08 PM9 trades$2834 min
5/19/2026, 12:57:04 AM6 trades$2813 min
6/26/2026, 12:52:56 PM16 trades$2703 min
4/7/2026, 10:50:37 PM15 trades$2617 min
5/15/2026, 10:41:44 PM8 trades$2433 min
8/3/2026, 9:38:35 PM13 trades$2402 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
04-11
04-22
05-08
05-26
06-03
07-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.06/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.9 / M36.2 / H32.9