@guhnome

#2,985,34714

0xa3abfe06da12783c192cbdee706f17028cdd300a

~77d· 152 markets · 514 tradesVol: $73,1332026-08-04 20:39:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (52/151)2.2/20
0.48x (win $1,531 / loss $3,158)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7370/15
Sortino -4.5280/10
$-0.2898 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 607 (151 markets)9.5/10
20/53 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 2355% of peak ($1,935 / $82)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#17,119$139Vol: $36,551
💰 FINANCE#655,033$-1,301Vol: $20,432
🏛️ POLITICS#1,589,086$-390Vol: $10,303
📈 ECONOMICS#668,923$-202Vol: $4,358
🌤️ WEATHER#253,088$-14Vol: $1,026
📢 MENTIONS#130,435$-10Vol: $212
CRYPTO#1,019,845$-4Vol: $210
SPORTS#1,062,824$-2Vol: $26
💻 TECH#45,704$1Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,783
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,133
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
369B / 145S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,783
Vol: $73,133

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
52W / 99L events
Realized PnL
$-1,783
Win Rate
34%
52W / 99L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-35

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,273 (0.7136383774598598% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$583
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?$446
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$244
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?$74
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 9, 2026?$34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$20
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$15
Will DeFi Technologies (DEFT) beat quarterly earnings?$13
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?$11
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$7

Top Losers

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$-548
50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?$-313
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?$-262
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$-221
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$-169
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$-149
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?$-134
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-126
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-121
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?$-106

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.194
Sortino
-0.214
HHI
504
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.279
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
42.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 3.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52%
Mid (20-55c)33.6%
High (>55c)14.4%

Sessions

#12
11/18/2025, 1:47:11 AM3 trades$1,0661 min
6/25/2026, 4:06:52 AM7 trades$8850 min
11/10/2025, 5:55:08 PM1 trades$8270 min
11/14/2025, 2:30:20 AM1 trades$6220 min
6/25/2026, 10:33:34 AM3 trades$5000 min
6/4/2026, 10:35:09 PM4 trades$3760 min
11/8/2025, 2:34:59 AM2 trades$3141 min
11/13/2025, 6:28:54 AM15 trades$26117 min
6/19/2026, 2:08:19 PM13 trades$2063 min
6/11/2026, 3:27:22 PM3 trades$2000 min
1/8/2026, 2:03:00 PM3 trades$1474 min
12/30/2025, 8:48:47 AM2 trades$1432 min
11/7/2025, 8:01:39 PM2 trades$1400 min
3/18/2026, 12:11:27 PM1 trades$1230 min
1/4/2026, 4:00:39 PM2 trades$1212 min
11/11/2025, 2:18:00 AM6 trades$1187 min
3/15/2026, 12:50:29 PM3 trades$1164 min
3/12/2026, 2:53:57 PM8 trades$11510 min
8/26/2025, 10:22:45 PM3 trades$984 min
3/14/2026, 11:46:37 AM2 trades$980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-09
07-20
08-14
08-28
11-11
02-04
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 261 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52 / M33.6 / H14.4