@guizds

#1,701,92518

0x6772e37831865e5b03acbe7d7e121dc6b63aedf6

~16d· 23 markets · 111 tradesVol: $30,479 @thrileysee2026-08-06 15:53:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (7/15)8.3/20
0.01x (win $10 / loss $1,373)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.4680/15
Sortino -6.1270/10
$-0.4842 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2042 (15 markets)2.3/10
6/10 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,363 / $0)0/10

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#592,317$-0Vol: $24,000
💰 FINANCE#585,747$-14Vol: $3,672
₿ CRYPTO#282,380$6Vol: $1,020
🏛️ POLITICS#558,429$0Vol: $949
🌤️ WEATHER#51,284$1Vol: $838

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,479
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
57B / 54S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-7
Vol: $30,479

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
7W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-6
Win Rate
47%
7W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-229

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10 (1.4915254237288131% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?$9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on May 15?$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C on April 30?$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 9?$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on May 11?$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 14?$0

Top Losers

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,344
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?$-10
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$-8
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?$-7
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$-4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.321
Sortino
-0.178
HHI
2447
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.555
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
47.7%
Top-5 markets
69%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 386s — normal for humanCV 1.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)77.2%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 7:21:47 AM3 trades$3364 min
7/1/2026, 9:56:41 AM1 trades$3360 min
6/6/2026, 12:47:48 AM26 trades$2852 min
6/26/2026, 8:24:20 AM2 trades$2790 min
5/9/2026, 2:17:54 PM2 trades$2190 min
3/16/2026, 11:04:25 AM2 trades$2011 min
3/16/2026, 11:11:21 AM6 trades$1966 min
6/6/2026, 2:28:25 AM6 trades$1941 min
3/16/2026, 11:37:51 AM1 trades$1850 min
3/16/2026, 11:55:21 AM4 trades$1815 min
6/21/2026, 4:57:47 AM2 trades$1790 min
6/5/2026, 11:52:18 AM6 trades$1770 min
6/20/2026, 8:34:32 AM1 trades$1710 min
4/29/2026, 3:54:22 PM3 trades$1610 min
5/10/2026, 12:48:58 PM4 trades$1490 min
5/8/2026, 12:08:06 PM5 trades$1440 min
5/13/2026, 10:45:57 AM7 trades$1431 min
5/14/2026, 4:48:32 AM2 trades$1010 min
6/5/2026, 10:41:45 AM2 trades$941 min
6/5/2026, 8:12:39 PM2 trades$633 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
04-29
05-08
05-09
05-10
05-13
05-14
06-06
06-11
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
53.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.3 / M10.5 / H77.2