@hagel-shop

#2,939,06618

0x611f5de67a1ad8b09f227dfee47681d670931f84

~55d· 251 markets · 711 tradesVol: $181,4262026-08-04 16:52:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (74/212)2.5/20
0.87x (win $4,739 / loss $5,468)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2410/15
Sortino -1.4730/10
$-0.0147 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 139 (212 markets)10/10
22/45 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 142% of peak ($2,733 / $1,927)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,589,680$-398Vol: $41,594
💰 FINANCE#15,657$135Vol: $29,637
⚽ SPORTS#1,742,207$-206Vol: $28,917
🎭 CULTURE#22,872$85Vol: $23,781
📢 MENTIONS#175,293$-1,124Vol: $15,861
₿ CRYPTO#45,757$441Vol: $13,316
🌤️ WEATHER#252,634$-14Vol: $8,631
💻 TECH#4,010$195Vol: $6,596
📈 ECONOMICS#4,875$475Vol: $3,618

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,107
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$181,426
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
251
total markets
Trades
329B / 382S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-8
Vol: $0
Month
$120
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,107
Vol: $181,426

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
74W / 138L events
Realized PnL
$-1,105
Win Rate
35%
74W / 138L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$64
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,273 (1.1516881894609197% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?$565
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 22 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?$375
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 10PM ET$332
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$225
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$206
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?$190
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?$163
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 13, 2026?$140
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$138
Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$113

Top Losers

Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$-932
Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? $-731
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 22)$-262
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?$-151
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5$-96
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?$-92
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?$-87
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$-86
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-14?$-83
Will Donald Trump say "Scam" on Truth Social this week?$-81

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.064
Sortino
-0.064
HHI
79
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
11.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 698s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.9%
Mid (20-55c)55.6%
High (>55c)33.4%

Sessions

#12
7/24/2026, 4:53:22 AM124 trades$2,43966 min
3/16/2026, 12:11:17 AM4 trades$1,6302 min
3/23/2026, 12:21:15 AM1 trades$1,5440 min
3/14/2026, 9:47:35 AM2 trades$1,4760 min
3/21/2026, 1:20:21 AM1 trades$1,4120 min
3/18/2026, 7:20:39 AM1 trades$1,1890 min
4/9/2026, 10:20:19 AM4 trades$1,1203 min
2/5/2026, 10:31:05 PM1 trades$1,0990 min
2/15/2026, 8:43:13 AM1 trades$9860 min
3/25/2026, 5:35:05 AM1 trades$9610 min
1/30/2026, 10:20:14 AM1 trades$9610 min
2/6/2026, 7:02:41 AM4 trades$9554 min
4/7/2026, 11:13:47 AM3 trades$9481 min
3/25/2026, 5:22:07 PM2 trades$9451 min
2/6/2026, 4:25:05 AM3 trades$9021 min
2/10/2026, 7:26:07 AM3 trades$8992 min
3/6/2026, 10:40:47 AM3 trades$8723 min
3/30/2026, 1:51:49 PM1 trades$8570 min
3/30/2026, 6:59:12 AM2 trades$8350 min
3/18/2026, 2:19:47 PM7 trades$8257 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
02-06
02-14
02-22
03-06
03-25
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 136 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.72/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L10.9 / M55.6 / H33.4