@happy00

#2,919,6928

0xd576bb03811082b995eb15ae49322be14a30b8f4

~86d· 42 markets · 1280 tradesVol: $286,7832026-08-05 00:39:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (13/30)6.7/20
0.11x (win $1,512 / loss $14,046)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.8660/15
Sortino -5.6140/10
$-0.1252 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3364 (30 markets)0/10
7/19 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 5065% of peak ($12,786 / $252)0/10

Badges

4
Whale
$100,070 invested
High Roller
$1,021/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#677,269$-651Vol: $277,344
💰 FINANCE#646,284$-306Vol: $9,219
₿ CRYPTO#287,590$5Vol: $220

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-951
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$286,783
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
1044B / 236S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Today
$79
Vol: $2,156
Week
$102
Vol: $4,786
Month
$204
Vol: $5,655
All Time
$-951
Vol: $286,783

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
13W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-960
Win Rate
43%
13W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$116
Avg Loss
$-878

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $907 (0.9448863991336763% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?$326
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$301
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?$280
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?$261
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?$120
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?$99
Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?$50
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?$26
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?$22
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?$19

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-9,549
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-2,161
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-962
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-513
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$-223
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?$-125
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?$-85
Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?$-85
Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?$-80
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$-75

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.299
Sortino
-0.243
HHI
1675
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.182
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
38.7%
Top-5 markets
61.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 743s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
34
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)82.5%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 9:17:07 AM2 trades$3,2100 min
5/13/2026, 7:20:37 AM10 trades$2,8340 min
7/13/2026, 4:29:59 PM12 trades$2,4076 min
7/15/2026, 11:53:46 AM12 trades$2,1150 min
7/14/2026, 12:30:13 PM15 trades$1,9979 min
7/12/2026, 8:43:59 PM3 trades$1,8220 min
7/25/2026, 12:29:27 AM21 trades$1,6109 min
6/14/2026, 5:56:34 PM3 trades$1,5191 min
7/22/2026, 2:18:57 PM26 trades$1,4337 min
7/15/2026, 2:09:43 PM2 trades$1,3880 min
7/9/2026, 9:09:02 AM18 trades$1,37512 min
6/16/2026, 10:29:21 AM11 trades$1,3704 min
6/1/2026, 9:59:32 PM2 trades$1,0130 min
7/31/2026, 9:57:29 PM8 trades$1,0031 min
5/13/2026, 7:15:22 AM1 trades$1,0010 min
5/13/2026, 3:25:41 AM1 trades$9980 min
7/22/2026, 10:06:52 AM15 trades$9971 min
5/26/2026, 12:54:32 AM9 trades$9820 min
5/13/2026, 4:16:19 AM1 trades$9780 min
6/20/2026, 1:52:58 PM8 trades$9770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
05-04
05-11
06-08
06-25
07-01
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M12 / H82.5