@hellojoy

#2,536,44237

0x753d146f576bab557cf4a1564dc63b87ca241fc0

~21d· 31 markets · 46 tradesVol: $4,8712026-08-04 21:04:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (21/29)20/20
0.20x (win $25 / loss $123)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4910/15
Sortino -5.3190/10
$-0.0383 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1022 (29 markets)7.4/10
12/16 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 824% of peak ($116 / $14)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Consistent
12/16 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#932,780$-1Vol: $2,424
₿ CRYPTO#1,419,965$-65Vol: $1,034
🏛️ POLITICS#1,449,627$-43Vol: $777
💰 FINANCE#53,987$11Vol: $636

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-97
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,871
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
35B / 11S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-97
Vol: $4,871

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
21W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-97
Win Rate
72%
21W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (0.17191830031817715% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$8
Ethereum all time high in 2024?$7
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? $2
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$2
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?$1
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?$1
Tether Insolvent in 2024?$1
Xi Jinping out before October?$1
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$0
Tether insolvent in 2025?$0

Top Losers

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$-78
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$-43
Joe Biden reinstated as Dem Nominee at DNC?$-1
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$-0
Will Sevilla FC win La Liga?$-0
Will RFK Jr. win >7% of the popular vote?$-0
Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.278
Sortino
-0.165
HHI
705
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.9%
Top-5 markets
51.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.52
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)88.6%

Sessions

#12
3/11/2025, 6:41:45 AM5 trades$1,3072 min
3/12/2025, 4:48:07 AM4 trades$1,2091 min
2/8/2025, 9:10:43 AM2 trades$1941 min
9/15/2024, 12:08:02 AM3 trades$1213 min
10/26/2024, 9:16:03 AM5 trades$1187 min
6/28/2026, 1:23:10 AM1 trades$1120 min
12/3/2025, 4:21:57 AM5 trades$1105 min
8/30/2024, 4:42:48 PM1 trades$1090 min
11/11/2025, 8:32:20 AM1 trades$1080 min
7/31/2024, 6:02:43 AM1 trades$1010 min
6/30/2026, 9:29:50 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/10/2025, 7:38:33 AM1 trades$970 min
7/7/2026, 6:17:14 PM1 trades$870 min
12/22/2024, 4:25:48 AM1 trades$670 min
4/27/2025, 6:20:29 AM1 trades$620 min
7/30/2025, 4:13:56 PM1 trades$470 min
7/24/2025, 7:45:32 AM1 trades$460 min
6/17/2025, 7:38:45 AM1 trades$450 min
10/26/2024, 3:53:20 PM2 trades$320 min
11/23/2024, 6:06:27 AM1 trades$310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-22
09-15
11-23
02-08
03-12
06-17
11-11
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 224 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.4 / M0 / H88.6