historyyy

@historyyy

#1,362,03681

0x82d525cfc226e489766537b952923c52d04997f7

~23d· 32 markets · 99 tradesVol: $1,4112026-08-05 01:49:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (16/23)19.8/20
4.46x (win $14 / loss $3)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.71715/15
Sortino 22.16810/10
$+0.0086 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 1976 (23 markets)2.6/10
11/16 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($3 / $11)8.7/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Consistent
11/16 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#832,794$-1Vol: $781
CRYPTO#817,973$-1Vol: $239
💰 FINANCE#176,167$0Vol: $194
📈 ECONOMICS#348,093$-0Vol: $154
🎭 CULTURE#413,414$-0Vol: $35
🌤️ WEATHER#178,280$-1Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,411
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
50B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $6
Month
$-2
Vol: $6
All Time
$-2
Vol: $1,411

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
16W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-2
Win Rate
70%
16W / 7L
Profit Factor
4.46x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12 (8.098684210526317% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$6
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?$0
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$0
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0
Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?$0

Top Losers

Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-1
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$-1
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in February?$-1
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?$-0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$-0
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.340
Sortino
0.721
HHI
1638
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.9%
Top-5 markets
72.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 206s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)96%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 7:58:48 PM5 trades$2663 min
7/21/2026, 4:47:07 PM4 trades$1993 min
7/21/2026, 11:27:46 AM5 trades$1781 min
7/21/2026, 1:55:09 PM4 trades$1371 min
7/20/2026, 5:15:37 PM2 trades$810 min
7/19/2026, 2:06:48 PM2 trades$740 min
7/19/2026, 3:48:03 PM2 trades$740 min
7/19/2026, 11:50:19 AM2 trades$670 min
7/19/2026, 1:16:58 PM2 trades$670 min
7/21/2026, 8:06:15 PM2 trades$650 min
2/3/2026, 9:23:56 PM2 trades$441 min
2/8/2026, 2:14:19 AM3 trades$413 min
6/29/2026, 1:13:04 PM4 trades$401 min
4/27/2026, 11:46:16 AM5 trades$361 min
4/28/2026, 3:01:46 PM4 trades$341 min
2/5/2026, 10:47:51 PM1 trades$240 min
5/4/2026, 6:07:28 AM5 trades$202 min
6/28/2026, 6:04:41 PM4 trades$201 min
2/3/2026, 3:44:06 PM1 trades$200 min
2/7/2026, 2:02:37 AM1 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-03
02-12
03-14
04-27
05-03
06-28
07-19
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4 / M0 / H96