@hoatbro

#2,874,04633

0x4e67a74c3f2ef748fc4f67c4622cde0c87a22b1f

~123d· 144 markets · 783 tradesVol: $90,3742026-08-05 02:23:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (87/144)15.2/20
0.82x (win $4,789 / loss $5,841)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3190/15
Sortino -1.5400/10
$-0.0341 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 175 (144 markets)10/10
48/81 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 375% of peak ($1,968 / $525)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 60%
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#812,479$-1,388Vol: $63,966
₿ CRYPTO#50,438$352Vol: $20,023
⚽ SPORTS#1,754,804$-239Vol: $2,744
📢 MENTIONS#1,872$618Vol: $2,718
🏛️ POLITICS#1,317,527$-13Vol: $250

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-604
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$90,374
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
144
total markets
Trades
478B / 305S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~123d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
87W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$-604
Win Rate
60%
87W / 57L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-102

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $826 (1.3667097115989537% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?$303
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$267
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?$255
Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11m and $13m?$238
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$218
Will Solana reach $200 on August 18–24?$213
Will MrBeast say Feastables 3+ times during next video?$185
"Gabby’s Dollhouse" grosses higher than "One Battle After Another" opening weekend?$185
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3-3.5m?$182
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?$158

Top Losers

Will PewDiePie’s next video get 1.5 million or more views on day 1?$-754
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$-667
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.75m?$-474
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?$-344
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $80m?$-313
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?$-290
Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?$-262
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$-250
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?$-247
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?$-238

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.069
Sortino
-0.065
HHI
167
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
17%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
35.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2108s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.47
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.3%
Mid (20-55c)29.9%
High (>55c)57.7%

Sessions

#12
9/26/2025, 9:09:20 PM1 trades$1,0600 min
10/1/2025, 12:39:31 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
8/22/2025, 12:14:04 PM1 trades$9750 min
10/3/2025, 4:01:51 AM1 trades$8790 min
9/25/2025, 9:36:14 PM1 trades$8750 min
8/22/2025, 1:32:42 PM1 trades$8480 min
8/21/2025, 4:51:44 AM1 trades$7150 min
10/11/2025, 4:50:44 PM1 trades$6630 min
10/12/2025, 7:45:10 AM1 trades$6580 min
10/12/2025, 3:02:20 AM2 trades$6582 min
10/7/2025, 4:08:52 PM1 trades$6490 min
10/7/2025, 10:21:20 AM1 trades$6400 min
10/5/2025, 1:32:37 AM1 trades$6290 min
6/13/2026, 2:04:36 AM3 trades$6180 min
10/4/2025, 11:30:17 AM1 trades$6170 min
8/14/2025, 9:38:18 AM1 trades$6000 min
8/14/2025, 12:14:00 PM1 trades$5920 min
4/28/2026, 3:25:38 PM3 trades$5884 min
10/10/2025, 3:18:42 AM1 trades$5800 min
5/16/2026, 2:36:07 AM13 trades$5760 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
08-01
09-06
10-05
02-19
05-03
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 231 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.3 / M29.9 / H57.7