@hoffmans

#2,402,70867

0xff2a0c0d895d99a12eed9888827ad43d8410bc19

~40d· 116 markets · 1374 tradesVol: $11,2942026-08-05 17:27:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (48/116)5.7/20
1.49x (win $951 / loss $638)8.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.04115/15
Sortino 9.14310/10
$+0.2223 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 334 (116 markets)10/10
12/31 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($146 / $335)5.3/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,609,773$-56Vol: $10,784
₿ CRYPTO#962,474$-3Vol: $507
📢 MENTIONS#43,294$1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-58
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,294
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
655B / 719S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-58
Vol: $11,294

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
48W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-58
Win Rate
41%
48W / 68L
Profit Factor
1.49x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $429 (7.371286278550575% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$173
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$131
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$125
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$103
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$87
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$46
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$41
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$39
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$19

Top Losers

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-71
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-59
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$-50
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$-33
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$-28
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$-28
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$-25
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-24
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-19
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.157
Sortino
0.439
HHI
787
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.169
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.2%
Top-5 markets
53.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.6m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 174s — normal for humanCV 0.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity21 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.36
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)68.9%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 2:20:13 PM38 trades$23611 min
6/6/2026, 6:35:16 AM29 trades$2034 min
6/8/2026, 11:05:33 AM9 trades$1996 min
6/6/2026, 9:14:30 AM5 trades$1343 min
6/6/2026, 6:56:16 AM17 trades$1294 min
6/12/2026, 10:48:27 AM12 trades$11110 min
6/11/2026, 2:45:21 PM30 trades$9912 min
6/8/2026, 10:51:00 AM3 trades$810 min
6/8/2026, 6:47:49 AM6 trades$760 min
5/27/2026, 5:35:33 AM15 trades$735 min
6/12/2026, 2:31:43 PM8 trades$725 min
6/2/2026, 1:23:38 PM12 trades$6911 min
6/11/2026, 2:33:01 PM6 trades$624 min
6/9/2026, 2:00:18 PM17 trades$606 min
7/6/2026, 9:42:25 AM17 trades$609 min
6/9/2026, 1:41:34 PM15 trades$594 min
6/11/2026, 1:54:54 PM14 trades$558 min
6/4/2026, 9:44:45 AM3 trades$530 min
6/8/2026, 9:37:24 AM4 trades$513 min
6/5/2026, 1:07:49 PM28 trades$5011 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
06-05
06-11
06-18
06-26
07-04
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.4 / M20.8 / H68.9